By and large, the belief is that Alabama's spot in the College Football Playoff -- regardless of what happens against No. 4 Georgia in Saturday's SEC Championship Game -- is set in stone.
Likewise, Tua Tagovailoa's place in the Heisman Trophy race is -- fittingly -- all but cast in bronze. With ballots in the hands of us voters as of Monday, we enter the final days of the proceedings in what appears to be a victory lap for the Crimson Tide quarterback.
Furthermore, it appears we also have clarity in terms of the players most likely to be joining Tagovailoa in New York for the Dec. 8 ceremony. Oklahoma's Kyler Murray, West Virginia's Will Grier and Ohio State's Dwayne Haskins all feel like virtual locks in what would be the 11th time four players made it to the proceedings.
*Remember, the number of finalists is dictated by the most natural break in the voting figures. Since players first started being invited in 1992 there has been as many as eight (in 1989, though four didn't attend), but are most commonly five (12 times), four (10) or three (11) players at the ceremony.
But that doesn't mean there's nothing on the line during the conference title games. The order in which those finalists finish behind Tagovailoa remains a point of interest.
Here is what's at stake for the players most likely to be joining Alabama's QB next week in New York.
The Contender: Kyler Murray, Oklahoma QB
With a shot at making the College Football Playoff on the line, Murray and the No. 5 Sooners get a shot at avenging their lone loss on the season as they face No. 14 Texas in the Big 12 Championship Game.
Murray, who threw for 304 yards and ran for 92 more while compiling five touchdowns and an interception in that 48-45 loss on Oct. 6 has been on a roll of late. He's averaging nearly 435 yards of total offense the past four weeks, while throwing for nine TDs and running for five more.
That being said, he has thrown four picks in that span and three of Oklahoma's last four games have been decided by five points or less. Can Murray do enough to save the Sooners' 111th-ranked defense, which is allowing 449 yards on the season and a whopping 585.3 in November, which is next to last in FBS?
Murray, who is second in the nation in total offense (377.3 ypg), second in pass efficiency (206.8) and second in points responsible for (288) appears to be headed for a similar finish in the Heisman voting. However, a loss to the Longhorns in the final chance to impress voters before ballots are due Monday could alter that.
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The Contender: Dwayne Haskins, Ohio State QB
Without Murray and Oklahoma falling to Texas, No. 6 Ohio State's hopes of returning to the playoff may well lie with just how impressive Haskins and the Buckeyes offense can look against 21st-ranked Northwestern in the Big Ten finale.
Haskins looked like a borderline finalist before he lit up then-No. 4 Michigan and its previously top-ranked defense to the tune of 396 yards and six TDs -- with a stunning 235.7 efficiency rating -- and ran for another 34 yards. Now, he seems like a given to make it to the ceremony, which would make him the fifth Ohio State player to do so and the first since Troy Smith's win in 2006.
After lighting the Wolverines on fire and picking up what, at this point is the most impressive win of any contender, Haskins feels like he's set at third behind Tagovailoa and Murray. But -- akin to his team's place in the CFP pecking order -- the Ohio State QB is in position to move up should Murray take a step back vs. Texas.
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The Contender: Will Grier, West Virginia QB
Grier's not playing, so what's at stake for him as he and the Mountaineers await word on their bowl destination?
The narrative on a resume that has Grier challenging for the program's highest finish since Major Harris was third in 1989. Currently, Grier is second in FBS at 351.3 passing yards per game, but he's in danger of losing that perch as Haskins is just 11.2 yards behind him and Northwestern is has been porous in that department this month (272.5 ypg, ranking 106th). Likewise, he's all but certain to fall from second in passing TDs, a spot he currently shares with Murray with 37 apiece.
Not playing in the final weekend before voting closes is a killer, and while Grier seems destined for a top-four finish, chasing down Harris' ghost may hinge on how well Haskins, especially, plays this weekend.