Astros vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 23

Updated Sep. 23, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

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Kyle Tucker and the Houston Astros will look to get to Jordan Lyles when he takes the mound for the Kansas City Royals on Saturday at 7:10 PM ET. Bookmakers list the Astros as -284 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Royals +231 moneyline odds. Houston (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The total is 10 runs for this contest (with -116 odds to hit the over and -104 odds to go under).

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Houston Astros looking to J.P. France (11-5), and Lyles (4-17) taking the ball for the Kansas City Royals.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Astros-Royals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Astros vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
• Where: Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas
• How to Watch on TV: SportsNet SW

Astros vs. Royals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Astros 5, Royals 4
• Total Prediction: Under 10 runs
• Win Probabilities: Astros 59%, Royals 41%

Astros vs. Royals Betting Insights

• This season, the Astros have won 58 out of the 113 games, or 51.3%, in which they've been favored.
• Houston has a record of 3-3 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -284 on the moneyline.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 74% chance of a victory for the Astros.
• The Royals have been chosen as underdogs in 131 games this year and have walked away with the win 44 times (33.6%) in those games.
• Kansas City has a win-loss record of 2-3 when favored by +231 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 30.2% chance of walking away with the win.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

• The Astros have a 2-7 record over the nine games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Astros and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total four times.
• The Astros have a 3-7-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Astros Player Insights

• Tucker has accumulated a team-best batting average of .282, while leading the Astros in home runs (28) and runs batted in (108).
• Including all MLB hitters, Tucker ranks 18th in batting average, 17th in on-base percentage, and 15th in slugging.
• Alex Bregman is hitting .265 with 27 doubles, three triples, 24 home runs and 89 walks.
• Bregman ranks 48th in home runs and 15th in RBI on the year.
• Yordan Alvarez has hit a team-best 28 home runs.
• Jose Altuve has 20 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 43 walks while batting .314.

Learn more about this Astros vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

• The Royals have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and have gone 7-3 in those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Royals and their opponents are 4-6-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Royals have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

Royals Player Insights

• Bobby Witt Jr. paces the Royals in home runs (29), runs batted in (92) and has posted a team-high batting average of .278.
• Witt Jr. is 24th in home runs and 28th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Witt Jr. brings a hitting streak of four games into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .217 with a double, a triple and two RBI.
• MJ Melendez has 28 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 59 walks while hitting .234.
• Among all MLB hitters, Melendez is 139th in homers and 142nd in RBI.
• Maikel Garcia is hitting .273 with 20 doubles, four triples, four home runs and 36 walks.
• Edward Olivares has 22 doubles, four triples, 10 home runs and 22 walks while batting .266.

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MLB - Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros - 09/23/2023