Braves vs. Brewers Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 28

Braves vs. Brewers Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 28

Updated Jul. 28, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Ronald Acuna Jr. and the Atlanta Braves will play Christian Yelich and the Milwaukee Brewers on Friday at Truist Park, at 7:20 PM ET. Bookmakers list the Braves as -176 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Brewers +150 moneyline odds. Atlanta is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 10 runs for this contest.

The starting pitchers are Yonny Chirinos (4-4) for the Atlanta Braves, and Adrian Houser (3-2) for the Milwaukee Brewers.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Braves-Brewers game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Braves vs. Brewers Game Information & Odds

  • When: Friday, July 28, 2023 at 7:20 PM ET
  • Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
  • How to Watch on TV: BSSE
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves -176 +150 10 -112 -108 -1.5 +110 -131

Braves vs. Brewers Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Braves 6, Brewers 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 10 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Braves 63%, Brewers 37%

Braves vs. Brewers Betting Insights

  • The Braves have been favorites in 88 games this season and won 56 (63.6%) of those contests.
  • Atlanta is 28-11 this season when entering a game favored by -176 or more on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 63.8%.
  • The Brewers have come away with 28 wins in the 52 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Milwaukee has a win-loss record of 2-4 when favored by +150 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 40% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

  • The Braves were the moneyline favorite for each of their last 10 games, and went 3-7 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Braves and their opponents combined to hit the over four times.
  • The Braves have gone 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 18
ERA 5.79
K/9 9.6

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Braves Player Insights

  • Acuna is the Braves best hitter so far this season, hitting at a team-leading .327 clip along with 23 homers and 58 RBI.
  • Among all batters in MLB, Acuna's home run total ranks him 14th, and his RBI tally ranks him 34th.
  • Matt Olson has shown off his power as he paces his team with 32 home runs and 80 runs batted in.
  • Olson ranks second in home runs and second in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Olson enters this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .176 with a double and three walks.
  • Ozzie Albies has 17 doubles, three triples, 24 home runs and 31 walks while batting .257.
  • Austin Riley has 18 doubles, a triple, 22 home runs and 34 walks while batting .272.
  • Riley has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .300 with two home runs and five RBI.

Braves Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Sean Murphy 1.5 (+205) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+135)
Michael Harris II 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+155)
Eddie Rosario 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+145)
Austin Riley 1.5 (+155) 1.5 (-120) 0.5 (+330) 0.5 (+105)
Marcell Ozuna 1.5 (+200) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+370) 0.5 (+125)

Learn more about this Braves vs. Brewers matchup on Fox Sports.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Brewers have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Brewers and their opponents have combined to hit the over just once.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Brewers are 6-4-0 against the spread.

Brewers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.5
HR 7
ERA 2.83
K/9 10.4

Brewers Player Insights

  • The Brewers are led in runs batted in by Yelich with a mark of 58, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .290.
  • Yelich is 61st in homers and 34th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Yelich takes a hitting streak of eight games into this game. During his last 10 games he is hitting .390 with five doubles, three home runs, three walks and 11 RBI.
  • William Contreras is batting .269 with 18 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 33 walks.
  • Contreras is 136th overall in homers and 125th in RBI this year.
  • Willy Adames has 17 home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
  • Joey Wiemer is hitting .207 with 15 doubles, 12 home runs and 31 walks.

Brewers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Tyrone Taylor 0.5 (-244) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+160)
Abraham Toro 0.5 (-244) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+155)
Willy Adames 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+340) 0.5 (+125)
Christian Yelich 1.5 (+135) 1.5 (-130) 0.5 (+380) 0.5 (+140)
William Contreras 1.5 (+165) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+135)

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