UConn vs. San Diego State Prediction, Odds, Picks - NCAA Tournament Sweet 16

Updated Mar. 28, 2024 8:27 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

A Sweet 16 NCAA Tournament matchup features the No. 1 UConn Huskies (33-3) and No. 5 San Diego State Aztecs (26-10) to determine which of the teams is heading to the East Regional final when it tips off on Thursday at TD Garden, beginning at 7:39 PM ET, airing on TBS/truTV.

The Huskies head into their matchup against the Aztecs as double-digit favorites. The Huskies are favored by 12 points. The game features a point total of 137.

Continue reading to get the details ahead of wagering on the UConn-San Diego State contest.

UConn vs. San Diego State Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, March 28, 2024 at 7:39 PM ET
Where: TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts
How to Watch on TV: TBS/truTV
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Huskies vs Aztecs Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Huskies	-12	-105	-115	137	-108	-112	-850	+575

UConn vs. San Diego State Prediction

Pick ATS: San Diego State (+12)
Pick OU: Over (137)
Prediction: UConn 76, San Diego State 68

Learn more about the UConn Huskies vs. the San Diego State Aztecs game on FOX Sports!

UConn vs. San Diego State Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Huskies 74, Aztecs 62.
The Huskies have an 89.5% chance to win this meeting per the moneyline's implied probability.
The Aztecs sit with a 14.8% implied probability to win.

Key Spread Facts

UConn has put together a 23-11-0 ATS record so far this year.
San Diego State has won 14 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 19 times.
UConn has an ATS record of 11-6 when playing as at least 12-point favorites this season.

Key Total Facts

Huskies games have finished with more than 137 points 23 times so far this season.
Aztecs games have had over 137 points 17 times this season.
These teams score 156.3 points per game combined, higher than the over/under for this matchup by 19.3.

Key Moneyline Facts

UConn has won 96.3% of its games this season when favored on the moneyline (26-1).
This season, San Diego State has won two out of the seven games in which it has been the underdog.
UConn has won all nine games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -850 or shorter.
San Diego State has not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +575.

UConn vs. San Diego State: Recent Results

Huskies vs Aztecs Recent Games
Date	Favorite	Spread	Total	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Result
4/3/2023	Huskies	-7.5	131	-350	+290	76-59 UCONN

UConn vs. San Diego State: 2023-24 Stats Comparison

	UConn	San Diego State
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)	81.6 (21)	74.7 (144)
Points Allowed (Rank)	63.9 (12)	66.3 (28)
Rebounds (Rank)	10.1 (59)	9.9 (76)
3pt Made (Rank)	8.6 (61)	7.1 (219)
Assists (Rank)	18.7 (3)	13.1 (173)
Turnovers (Rank)	9 (16)	10.5 (101)

UConn 2023-24 Key Players

Huskies Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Tristen Newton	36	15.3	6.8	6.2	1	0.3	1.8
Cam Spencer	36	14.4	4.5	3.6	1.4	0.2	2.6
Alex Karaban	35	13.7	4.9	1.4	0.9	0.8	2.1
Donovan Clingan	31	12.8	7.4	1.5	0.5	2.4	0.1
Stephon Castle	30	10.8	4.4	2.9	0.8	0.6	0.6

San Diego State 2023-24 Key Players

Aztecs Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Jaedon LeDee	35	21.5	8.4	1.3	1.2	0.5	0.5
Reese Waters	36	9.8	3.7	1.2	0.6	0.2	1.3
Lamont Butler	36	9.4	2.6	2.9	1.5	0.2	0.9
Micah Parrish	36	9.3	4.1	1.9	1.1	0.4	1.3
Darrion Trammell	34	7.9	2.5	3.3	1.3	0.1	1.1