Diamondbacks vs. Cubs Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 16

Updated Apr. 16, 2024 9:00 p.m. ET

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Nico Hoerner and the Chicago Cubs are ready for a matchup with Ketel Marte and the Arizona Diamondbacks on Tuesday at 9:40 PM ET. The favored Diamondbacks have -118 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Cubs, who are listed at -102. Arizona (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. A 9.5-run over/under is listed for this matchup.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Diamondbacks-Cubs game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Cubs' Michael Busch homers in fourth-straight game

Chicago Cubs' Michael Busch extended his hot streak by homering in hia fourth-straight game.

Diamondbacks vs. Cubs Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, April 16, 2024 at 9:40 PM ET
• Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
• How to Watch on TV: MARQ

Diamondbacks vs. Cubs Prediction

• Score Prediction: Diamondbacks 6, Cubs 5
• Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Diamondbacks 51%, Cubs 49%

Diamondbacks vs. Cubs Betting Insights

• The Diamondbacks have won seven, or 63.6%, of the 11 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Arizona is 7-4 this season when entering a game favored by -118 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Diamondbacks, based on the moneyline, is 54.1%.
• The Cubs have been victorious in six, or 50%, of the 12 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Chicago has a win-loss record of 5-6 when favored by -102 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 50.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

FINAL (10)

CHC 11 · AZ 12

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Chicago Cubs

CHC

+1.5

+102

o10

Arizona Diamondbacks

AZ

-1.5

-122

u10

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

• The Diamondbacks have a 4-3 record across the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Diamondbacks and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times.
• The Diamondbacks have a 5-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games (bookmakers set spreads in nine of those games).

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Diamondbacks Player Insights

• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. leads the Diamondbacks with four home runs and 18 runs batted in.
• Gurriel is 13th in home runs and third in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Marte's .284 batting average paces his team.
• Marte is 36th in home runs and 76th in RBI in the bigs.
• Corbin Carroll has two doubles, a home run and nine walks while batting .231.
• Carroll will look to build on his two-game hitting in this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .238 with a double, a walk and three RBI.
• Christian Walker is batting .281 with a double, three home runs and 11 walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props

Learn more about this Diamondbacks vs. Cubs matchup on Fox Sports.

Cubs Recent Betting Performance

• The Cubs have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Cubs and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
• The Cubs have a record of 6-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Cubs Recent Stats

Cubs Player Insights

• Michael Busch has posted a team- leading batting average of .327, while pacing the Cubs in long balls with six.
• Busch's home run total puts him fourth in the big leagues, and he ranks 27th in RBI.
• Busch has collected a hit in six games in a row. During his last 10 games he is batting .333 with three doubles, six home runs, five walks and 11 RBI.
• Christopher Morel is batting .222 with a double, a triple, three home runs and three walks.
• Morel is 36th in home runs and 51st in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
• Ian Happ has three doubles, a triple and 11 walks while batting .219.
• Cody Bellinger is hitting .180 with a double, two home runs and nine walks.

Cubs Team Props

Los Angeles Dodgers run the NL West, but can the Padres or Diamondbacks make the playoffs too?

Ben Verlander and Alex Curry breakdown the NL West in the Flippin' Bats 2024 National League preview. Will either the Arizona Diamondbacks or San Diego Padres join the Los Angeles Dodgers in the playoffs?

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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