Toledo vs. Northern Illinois Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 30

Updated Sep. 29, 2023 9:05 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Toledo Rockets (3-1), who have college football's 20th-ranked pass defense, play the Northern Illinois Huskies (1-3) and their fourth-ranked passing defense on Saturday, September 30, 2023. The Rockets are double-digit, 13-point favorites. The game has an over/under of 48.

The Rockets' most recent game was versus the Western Michigan Broncos, and they won by a score of 49-31. The Huskies' last contest was versus the Tulsa Golden Hurricane, and they lost by a score of 22-14.

Toledo vs. Northern Illinois Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 30, 2023 at 3:30 PM ET
Location: The Glass Bowl in Toledo, Ohio
TV: ESPNU
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Toledo vs Northern Illinois Betting Information updated as of September 29, 2023, 2:46 AM ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Toledo	-13 (-111)	-533	+395	48	-110	-110

Toledo vs. Northern Illinois Prediction

Pick ATS: Northern Illinois (+13)
Pick OU: Over (48)
Prediction: Toledo 30, Northern Illinois 22

Learn more about the Toledo Rockets vs. the Northern Illinois Huskies game on FOX Sports!

Toledo vs. Northern Illinois Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Rockets 30, Huskies 18.
The Rockets have an 84.2% chance to collect the win in this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Huskies have a 20.2% implied probability.
Toledo has covered once in three games with a spread this season.
Northern Illinois has won one game against the spread this season.

Toledo vs. Northern Illinois: Head-to-Head

The last two times Northern Illinois and Toledo have played, the two teams share the same 1-1 record.
The Rockets and the Huskies have matched up evenly over their last two head-to-head meetings, holding an even 1-1 record against the spread. In those two games, the two teams have hit the over on the total on one occasion.
Over their last two head-to-head contests, Toledo has racked up 72 points, while Northern Illinois has compiled 54.

Toledo vs. Northern Illinois: 2023 Stats Comparison

	Toledo	Northern Illinois
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	42.3 (12)	15.8 (126)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	20.3 (49)	23.8 (67)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	8 (105)	8 (105)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	8 (18)	5 (74)

Toledo 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
DeQuan Finn	QB	673 YDS (63.3%) / 8 TD / 4 INT 180 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 45.0 RUSH YPG
Peny Boone	RB	402 YDS / 5 TD / 100.5 YPG / 7.7 YPC 3 REC / 28 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 7.0 REC YPG
Jerjuan Newton	WR	16 REC / 209 YDS / 6 TD / 52.3 YPG
Tucker Gleason	QB	199 YDS (66.7%) / 4 TD / 0 INT
Judge Culpepper	DT	9 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 4.5 SACK
Nate Bauer	S	19 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Jeremiah Peters	OLB	5 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 3.5 SACK
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren	S	13 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 1 INT / 3 PD

Northern Illinois 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Antario Brown	RB	182 YDS / 1 TD / 45.5 YPG / 2.8 YPC 2 REC / 9 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 2.3 REC YPG
Kacper Rutkiewicz	WR	14 REC / 204 YDS / 1 TD / 51.0 YPG
Justin Lynch	RB	96 YDS / 1 TD / 24.0 YPG / 8.7 YPC
Rocky Lombardi	QB	566 YDS (50.5%) / 1 TD / 4 INT -28 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / -7.0 RUSH YPG
George Gumbs	DE	10 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 2.5 SACK
Raishein Thomas	DE	16 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 1.5 SACK
Roy Williams	DE	8 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK
Jordan Hansen	S	11 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK