Utah State vs. Fresno State Prediction, Odds, Picks - MWC Tournament

Updated Mar. 14, 2024 3:28 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The top-seeded Utah State Aggies (26-5, 14-4 MWC) are squaring off against the No. 9 seed Fresno State Bulldogs (12-20, 4-14 MWC) in the MWC tournament on Thursday at Thomas & Mack Center, at 3:00 PM ET airing on CBS Sports Network.

The Aggies head into their game against the Bulldogs as double-digit favorites. The Aggies are favored by 12.5 points. The point total for the matchup is 142.

Continue reading to get everything you need to know before placing bets on the Utah State-Fresno State contest.

Utah State vs. Fresno State Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, March 14, 2024 at 3:00 PM ET
Where: Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, Nevada
How to Watch on TV: CBS Sports Network
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Aggies vs Bulldogs Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Aggies	-12.5	-105	-115	142	-108	-112	-1000	+650

Utah State vs. Fresno State Prediction

Pick ATS: Utah State (-12.5)
Pick OU: Over (142)
Prediction: Utah State 81, Fresno State 64

Learn more about the Utah State Aggies vs. the Fresno State Bulldogs game on FOX Sports!

Utah State vs. Fresno State Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Aggies 77, Bulldogs 65.
The Aggies have a 90.9% chance to claim victory in this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability.
The Bulldogs hold a 13.3% implied probability to come out on top.

Key Spread Facts

Utah State has compiled a 14-13-2 ATS record so far this year.
Fresno State has won 14 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 17 times.
Utah State has an ATS record of 4-3 when playing as at least 12.5-point favorites this season.
Fresno State has covered the spread once when an underdog by 12.5 points or more this season (in seven opportunities).

Key Total Facts

A total of 20 times so far this season, the Aggies and their opponent have combined for more than 142 points.
So far this season, 14 Bulldogs games have featured more than 142 points scored.
These teams score 147.3 points per game combined, higher than the over/under for this matchup by 5.3.

Key Moneyline Facts

Utah State has a 23-1 record in games when it was listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 95.8% of those games).
Fresno State has won five, or 22.7%, of the 22 games it has played as underdogs this season.
Utah State has won all six games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -1000 or shorter.
This season, Fresno State has won one of its six games when it is the underdog by at least +650 on the moneyline.

Utah State vs. Fresno State: Recent Results

Aggies vs Bulldogs Recent Games
Date	Favorite	Spread	Total	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Result
2/27/2024	Aggies	-10	142	-650	+470	77-73 UTAHST
1/20/2024	Aggies	-13.5	143	-800	+550	83-62 UTAHST
1/28/2023	Aggies	-4	134.5	-180	+155	70-53 UTAHST
12/31/2022	Aggies	-11.5	135.5	-700	+510	67-54 UTAHST

Utah State vs. Fresno State: 2023-24 Stats Comparison

	Utah State	Fresno State
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)	79.9 (47)	67.4 (322)
Points Allowed (Rank)	69.6 (105)	73.5 (231)
Rebounds (Rank)	7.9 (248)	6.5 (339)
3pt Made (Rank)	6.4 (283)	6.8 (234)
Assists (Rank)	16.5 (22)	12.4 (239)
Turnovers (Rank)	11 (154)	11.7 (231)

Utah State 2023-24 Key Players

Aggies Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Great Osobor	31	17.6	9	2.9	1.3	1.5	0.1
Ian Martinez	30	13.3	3.7	1.7	0.9	0.8	1.5
Darius Brown II	31	12.4	4.4	6.4	1.5	0.2	1.8
Mason Falslev	31	11.6	4.4	2.5	1.3	0.2	0.7
Josh Uduje	31	8.8	2.6	1	0.7	0.3	0.8