Auburn vs. Mississippi State Prediction, Odds, Picks - SEC Tournament

Updated Mar. 16, 2024 10:27 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The No. 4 seed Auburn Tigers (25-7, 13-5 SEC) head into the SEC tournament against the No. 9 seed Mississippi State Bulldogs (21-12, 8-10 SEC) on Saturday at Bridgestone Arena, beginning at 1:00 PM ET.

The Tigers are an 8-point favorite against the Bulldogs when the Tigers and the Bulldogs meet. The matchup's point total is set at 143.

Continue scrolling to get all the information before betting on the Auburn-Mississippi State clash.

Auburn vs. Mississippi State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, March 16, 2024 at 1:00 PM ET
Where: Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tennessee
How to Watch on TV: ESPN
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Tigers vs Bulldogs Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Tigers	-8	-108	-112	143	-108	-112	-360	+285

Auburn vs. Mississippi State Prediction

Pick ATS: Auburn (-8)
Pick OU: Over (143)
Prediction: Auburn 78, Mississippi State 70

Learn more about the Auburn Tigers vs. the Mississippi State Bulldogs game on FOX Sports!

Auburn vs. Mississippi State Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Tigers 76, Bulldogs 68.
The Tigers have a 78.3% chance to collect the win in this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability.
The Bulldogs sit with a 26.0% implied probability to come out on top.

Key Spread Facts

Auburn has covered 20 times in 32 games with a spread this season.
Mississippi State has won 16 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover or pushing 17 times.
When playing as at least 8-point favorites this season, Auburn has an ATS record of 13-6.
Mississippi State has covered the spread once this year (1-2 ATS) when playing as at least 8-point underdogs.

Key Total Facts

Tigers games have finished with more than 143 points 19 times so far this year.
Bulldogs games have finished with over 143 points scored 15 times this year.
The Tigers and Bulldogs average 158.6 points per game combined, which is 15.6 more than the over/under for this matchup.

Key Moneyline Facts

Auburn has won 21 of 26 games when favored on the moneyline this season (80.8%).
Mississippi State has been underdogs in 12 games this season and won six (50%) of those contests.
When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -360 or shorter, Auburn has gone 14-1 (93.3% win percentage).
This season, Mississippi State has won three of its five games when it is the underdog by at least +285 on the moneyline.

Auburn vs. Mississippi State: Recent Results

Tigers vs Bulldogs Recent Games
Date	Favorite	Spread	Total	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Result
3/2/2024	Tigers	-10.5	146	-600	+440	78-63 AUBRN
1/27/2024	Tigers	-3	144.5	-166	+140	64-58 MSPST
1/14/2023	Tigers	-7.5	128.5	-305	+255	69-63 AUBRN

Auburn vs. Mississippi State: 2023-24 Stats Comparison

	Auburn	Mississippi State
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)	83.6 (13)	75 (133)
Points Allowed (Rank)	68.1 (73)	68.9 (87)
Rebounds (Rank)	10 (72)	10.6 (40)
3pt Made (Rank)	8.2 (104)	7.3 (195)
Assists (Rank)	18 (7)	14.2 (109)
Turnovers (Rank)	10 (69)	12.3 (280)

Auburn 2023-24 Key Players

Tigers Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Johni Broome	32	16.3	8.5	2.1	0.9	2.2	0.8
Jaylin Williams	31	12.6	4.4	1.9	0.7	0.6	1
Chad Baker	32	10.2	3.8	2.3	1	0.5	1.1
Denver Jones	32	8.7	1.9	1.4	0.8	0.1	1.4
Aden Holloway	32	7.8	1.5	2.7	0.4	0	1.6

Mississippi State 2023-24 Key Players

Bulldogs Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Josh Hubbard	33	17.1	2.2	1.7	0.6	0.1	3.2
Tolu Smith	21	15.5	8.3	1.3	0.7	0.4	0
Cameron Matthews	33	9.7	6.9	2.9	2	0.7	0.1
Shakeel Moore	31	8	2.2	1.9	0.9	0.2	0.9
Dashawn Davis	33	6.8	1.8	2.7	1.6	0.1	1