Nevada vs. Dayton Prediction, Odds, Picks - NCAA Tournament First Round

Updated Mar. 21, 2024 3:27 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

An opening-round NCAA Tournament matchup will see the No. 7 seed Dayton Flyers (24-7) play against the No. 10 seed Nevada Wolf Pack (26-7) on Thursday at Delta Center. The contest begins at 4:30 PM ET, on TBS.

The Wolf Pack are a slight 1-point favorite against the Flyers. The matchup features an over/under of 136.5.

Keep reading to get the details before betting on the Nevada-Dayton clash.

Nevada vs. Dayton Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, March 21, 2024 at 4:30 PM ET
Where: Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah
How to Watch on TV: TBS
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Wolf Pack vs Flyers Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Wolf Pack	-1	-112	-108	136.5	-112	-108	-120	+100

Nevada vs. Dayton Prediction

Pick ATS: Dayton (+1)
Pick OU: Over (136.5)
Prediction: Dayton 72, Nevada 71

Learn more about the Nevada Wolf Pack vs. the Dayton Flyers game on FOX Sports!

Nevada vs. Dayton Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the encounter is Wolf Pack 69, Flyers 68.
The Wolf Pack have a 54.5% chance to claim victory in this meeting per the moneyline's implied probability.
The Flyers have a 50.0% implied probability to come out on top.

Key Spread Facts

Nevada has compiled a 21-11-0 ATS record so far this year.
Dayton has put together a 15-15-1 ATS record so far this year.
Nevada has covered the spread 15 times this season (15-9 ATS) when playing as at least 1-point favorites.
Dayton has been an underdog by 1 point or more five times this year, and covered the spread in three of those games.

Key Total Facts

In 19 games this season, the Wolf Pack and their opponent have combined for more than 136.5 points.
There have been 18 Flyers games this season with more than 136.5 points scored.
These teams score 151.1 points per game combined, higher than the over/under for this matchup by 14.6.

Key Moneyline Facts

Nevada has gone 18-4 in games when it was favored on the moneyline (winning 81.8%).
Dayton has been underdogs in five games this season and won three (60%) of those contests.
When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -120 or shorter, Nevada has gone 18-4 (81.8% win percentage).
This season, Dayton has won one of its three games when it is the underdog by at least +100 on the moneyline.

Nevada vs. Dayton: 2023-24 Stats Comparison

	Nevada	Dayton
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)	76.4 (97)	74.7 (146)
Points Allowed (Rank)	67.1 (48)	66.3 (29)
Rebounds (Rank)	7.8 (257)	7.1 (305)
3pt Made (Rank)	6.7 (250)	9.5 (22)
Assists (Rank)	15.1 (59)	14.8 (76)
Turnovers (Rank)	9.6 (42)	9.6 (42)

Nevada 2023-24 Key Players

Wolf Pack Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Jarod Lucas	33	17.8	2.8	1.5	0.8	0	2.3
Kenan Blackshear	31	15.1	4.9	4.9	1.4	0.5	0.2
Nick Davidson	33	12.1	7.3	1.4	0.7	0.7	0.7
Tre Coleman	33	8.5	3.8	2.8	1.3	0.7	1.2
Hunter McIntosh	32	5.9	1.2	1.3	0.5	0	1.4

Dayton 2023-24 Key Players

Flyers Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Daron Holmes	31	20.4	8.4	2.6	0.8	2.1	1
Nate Santos	31	12	6.4	1.5	0.7	0.2	1.6
Koby Brea	31	10.9	3.8	1.1	0.5	0.3	2.9
Kobe Elvis	31	9.5	2.5	3.6	0.6	0	1.5
Javon Bennett	29	8.7	2.2	3.4	1.2	0.1	1.4