Brewers vs. Cubs Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 1

Updated Oct. 1, 2023 3:00 p.m. ET

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Carlos Santana and the Milwaukee Brewers will look to get to Drew Smyly when he takes the mound for the Chicago Cubs on Sunday at 3:10 PM ET, in the final game of a three-game series at American Family Field. The Brewers are the favorite in this one, at -135, while the underdog Cubs have +115 odds to play spoiler. Milwaukee (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The matchup's over/under has been set at 8.5 runs.

The Brewers will give the ball to Adrian Houser (7-5) against the Cubs and Smyly (11-10).

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Cubs game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Brewers vs. Cubs Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, October 1, 2023 at 3:10 PM ET
• Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• How to Watch on TV: BSWI

Brewers vs. Cubs Prediction

• Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Cubs 4
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Brewers 53%, Cubs 47%

Brewers vs. Cubs Betting Insights

• The Brewers have won 51, or 59.3%, of the 86 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Milwaukee is 32-22 this season when entering a game favored by -135 or more on the moneyline.
• The Brewers have a 57.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Cubs have been chosen as underdogs in 68 games this year and have walked away with the win 29 times (42.6%) in those games.
• This season, Chicago has come away with a win 15 times in 33 chances when named as an underdog of at least +115 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cubs have a 46.5% chance of walking away with the win.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

• The Brewers went 5-3 over the eight games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Brewers and their opponents combined to hit the over four times.
• The Brewers have gone 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Brewers Player Insights

• Christian Yelich is hitting .277 with 34 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 77 walks.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Yelich ranks 100th in home runs and 66th in RBI.
• Yelich brings a hitting streak of two games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .316 with two doubles, four walks and an RBI.
• Carlos Santana's 86 runs batted in lead his team.
• Among all major league hitters, Santana is 62nd in home runs and 41st in RBI.
• Santana has seven straight games with at least one hit. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .317 with four doubles, a triple, two home runs, three walks and 10 RBI.
• William Contreras has put up a team-high batting average of .290.
• Contreras has at least one base hit in 17 straight games. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .375 with four doubles, five walks and four RBI.
• Willy Adames has hit 24 home runs to pace his team.
• Adames brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .316 with three doubles, two walks and two RBI.

Brewers Team Props

Learn more about this Brewers vs. Cubs matchup on Fox Sports.

Cubs Recent Betting Performance

• The Cubs have played as underdogs four times over their past 10 games and lost each of those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Cubs and their opponents are 6-4-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Cubs are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Cubs Recent Stats

Cubs Player Insights

• Cody Bellinger paces the Cubs with 26 home runs and 97 runs batted in, while posting a team-best batting average of .307.
• In all of MLB, Bellinger ranks 38th in homers and 21st in RBI.
• Nico Hoerner is hitting .284 with 27 doubles, four triples, nine home runs and 49 walks.
• Hoerner is 237th in homers and 94th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Ian Happ is batting .248 with 35 doubles, three triples, 21 home runs and 99 walks.
• Seiya Suzuki has 30 doubles, six triples, 20 home runs and 59 walks while hitting .285.

Cubs Team Props

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MLB - Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers - 10/01/2023