Cubs vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 16

Updated May. 16, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

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Justin Steele and Jared Jones are the projected starters when the Chicago Cubs and the Pittsburgh Pirates play on Thursday at Wrigley Field, at 7:40 PM ET. The Cubs are -125 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Pirates (+105). Chicago is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 8 runs for the matchup (with -114 odds to go over and -106 odds to go under).

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Cubs-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Cubs vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, May 16, 2024 at 7:40 PM ET
• Where: Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois
• How to Watch on TV: MARQ

Cubs vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Cubs 6, Pirates 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Cubs 56%, Pirates 44%

Cubs vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• The Cubs have entered the game as favorites 16 times this season and won 10, or 62.5%, of those games.
• Chicago has a record of 8-2, a 80% win rate, when favored by -125 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 55.6% chance of a victory for the Cubs.
• The Pirates have come away with 12 wins in the 25 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Pittsburgh has been victorious eight times in 15 chances when named as an underdog of at least +105 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 48.8% chance of walking away with the win.

FINAL

PIT 5 · CHC 4

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Pittsburgh Pirates

PIT

+1.5

+105

o8

Chicago Cubs

CHC

-1.5

-125

u8

Cubs Recent Betting Performance

• The Cubs were the moneyline favorite for four of their last 10 games, and they finished 2-2 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Cubs and their opponents combined to go over the run total three times.
• The Cubs have put together a 3-7-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Cubs Recent Stats

Cubs Player Insights

• Nico Hoerner leads the Cubs with a team-best batting average of .269.
• Including all MLB batters, Hoerner is 48th in batting average, 29th in on-base percentage, and 96th in slugging.
• Christopher Morel's nine home runs and 28 RBI both pace his team.
• Morel ranks 15th in homers and 20th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Mike Tauchman is batting .266 with nine doubles, four home runs and 25 walks.
• Cody Bellinger has four doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 14 walks while batting .263.
• Bellinger is riding a four-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .238 with a double, three walks and two RBI.

Cubs Team Props

Learn more about this Cubs vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• The Pirates have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
• The Pirates have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• The Pirates are led in runs batted in by Connor Joe with a mark of 22, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .286.
• Joe ranks 55th in home runs and 52nd in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Bryan Reynolds has 11 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 24 walks while hitting .250.
• Reynolds is 71st in homers and 83rd in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Oneil Cruz leads the Pirates with seven long balls.
• Andrew McCutchen is hitting .211 with three doubles, five home runs and 17 walks.

Pirates Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs - 05/16/2024