Braves vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 7

Braves vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 7

Updated Aug. 7, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Matt Olson and the Atlanta Braves take on Liover Peguero and the Pittsburgh Pirates on Monday at 7:05 PM ET, in the first of a four-game series at PNC Park. Oddsmakers list the Braves as -307 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Pirates +244 moneyline odds to win. Atlanta is favored on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 9 runs for the contest.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Atlanta Braves looking to Spencer Strider (12-3), and Osvaldo Bido (2-2) taking the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Braves-Pirates game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Braves vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

  • When: Monday, August 7, 2023 at 7:05 PM ET
  • Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves -307 +244 9 -106 -114 -1.5 -179 +152

Braves vs. Pirates Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Braves 6, Pirates 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Braves 54%, Pirates 46%

Braves vs. Pirates Betting Insights

  • This season, the Braves have won 62 out of the 97 games, or 63.9%, in which they've been favored.
  • Atlanta has played as favorites of -307 or more once this season and lost that game.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 75.4%.
  • The Pirates have been underdogs in 89 games this season and have come away with the win 37 times (41.6%) in those contests.
  • Oddsmakers have given Pittsburgh the worst odds of winning it has seen this season with a +244 moneyline listed for this contest.
  • The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 29.1% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

  • The Braves were favored on the moneyline for each of their last 10 games, and they finished 6-4 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Braves and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times.
  • The Braves' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 6.8
HR 25
ERA 4.34
K/9 9.1

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Braves Player Insights

  • The Braves best hitter thus far this season is Ronald Acuna Jr., who's hitting at a team-leading .343 clip along with 25 homers and 67 RBI.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Acuna is 13th in home runs and 25th in RBI.
  • Acuna carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .550 with two doubles, a triple, a home run, three walks and six RBI.
  • Olson has put his power on display as he paces his team with 39 home runs and 97 runs batted in.
  • Olson is second in homers in baseball, and first in RBI.
  • Olson carries a four-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is batting .294 with a double, three home runs, five walks and eight RBI.
  • Ozzie Albies has 21 doubles, four triples, 25 home runs and 33 walks while hitting .261.
  • Albies will look to build on his five-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .364 with three doubles, a triple, a home run, a walk and three RBI.
  • Austin Riley has 20 doubles, a triple, 26 home runs and 38 walks while batting .274.

Braves Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Matt Olson 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (-110) 0.5 (+230) 0.5 (+100)
Sean Murphy 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+145)
Eddie Rosario 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+170)
Ozzie Albies 1.5 (+175) 1.5 (-125) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+110)
Michael Harris II 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+190)

Learn more about this Braves vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

  • The Pirates have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and have gone 5-4 in those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Pirates are 8-2-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.9
HR 14
ERA 4.09
K/9 9.1

Pirates Player Insights

  • The Pirates are led in runs batted in by Bryan Reynolds with a mark of 53, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .267.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Reynolds ranks 89th in home runs and 70th in RBI.
  • Andrew McCutchen is batting .260 with 13 doubles, 10 home runs and 61 walks.
  • Among all major league hitters, McCutchen ranks 154th in home runs and 216th in RBI.
  • Jack Suwinski has been a significant run producer for the Pirates with 21 home runs and 53 runs batted in.
  • Ke'Bryan Hayes has 16 doubles, five triples, five home runs and 16 walks while hitting .243.

Pirates Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Joshua Palacios 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+310)
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+255)
Liover Peguero 0.5 (+100) 0.5 (+100) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+340)
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 (-149) 0.5 (-149) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+245)
Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.5 (-159) 0.5 (-159) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+245)

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