Phillies vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 15

Phillies vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 15

Updated May. 15, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

The New York Mets and Brandon Nimmo take the field in the third game of a four-game series against Bryce Harper and the Philadelphia Phillies, on Wednesday at Citizens Bank Park. The Mets are +179 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the favorite Phillies (-217). Philadelphia is a 1.5-run favorite (at -103 odds). The contest's total is set at 7.5 runs.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Phillies vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the highlights as the Philadelphia Phillies took on the New York Mets.

Phillies vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, May 15, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
  • Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies -217 +179 7.5 -105 -115 -1.5 -103 -117

Phillies vs. Mets Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 3, Mets 2
  • Total Prediction: Under 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Phillies 59%, Mets 41%

Phillies vs. Mets Betting Insights

  • The Phillies have been favorites in 34 games this season and won 24 (70.6%) of those contests.
  • Philadelphia is undefeated in four games this season when favored by -217 or more on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 68.5%.
  • The Mets have been underdogs in 19 games this season and have come away with the win seven times (36.8%) in those contests.
  • New York has been listed as an underdog of +179 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
  • The Mets have an implied victory probability of 35.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
FINAL
NYM 5 · PHI 10
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
New York Mets
NYM
Philadelphia Phillies
PHI

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

  • The Phillies were favored on the moneyline for eight of their last 10 games, and they went 6-2 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over seven times.
  • The Phillies' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 6.9
HR 10
ERA 2.67
K/9 8.9

Phillies Player Insights

  • Alec Bohm is the Phillies RBI leader this season, knocking in 35 runs to go with his four home runs and .333 batting average.
  • In all of the majors, Bohm is 104th in home runs and fourth in RBI.
  • Bryson Stott has five doubles, two triples, four home runs and 22 walks while batting .281.
  • Stott ranks 104th in home runs and 31st in RBI among all major league batters this year.
  • Stott carries a six-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last 10 outings he is batting .438 with three doubles, a triple, a home run, 11 walks and 12 RBI.
  • Harper paces the Phillies with nine home runs.
  • Harper is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .190 with a double, three walks and an RBI.
  • Kyle Schwarber has shown his power as he paces his team with nine home runs.

Phillies Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Bryce Harper 0.5 (-208) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+190)
Nicholas Castellanos 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+155)
Alec Bohm 0.5 (-294) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+150)
Whit Merrifield 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+190)
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 (-244) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+180)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

  • The Mets have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
  • The Mets and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Mets have won four of their last 10 games against the spread.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 9
ERA 4.65
K/9 8.4

Mets Player Insights

  • Nimmo has driven in the most runs for the Mets with 27 runs batted in.
  • Nimmo ranks 55th in homers and 22nd in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
  • Pete Alonso has put his power on display as he paces his team with nine home runs.
  • Alonso is 13th in homers and 49th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
  • Francisco Lindor is hitting .204 with eight doubles, seven home runs and 14 walks.
  • Starling Marte leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .260.

Mets Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+275)
Francisco Lindor 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+180)
Tomás Nido 0.5 (-110) 0.5 (-110) 0.5 (+1200) 0.5 (+350)
Mark Vientos 0.5 (-164) 0.5 (-164) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+215)
Harrison Bader 0.5 (-175) 0.5 (-175) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+245)

Phillies vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the highlights as the Philadelphia Phillies took on the New York Mets.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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