Week 11 Team OddsShark SuperContest NFL Tips and Trends

Each week during the 2015 NFL season, FOX Sports fantasy editor Ryan Fowler and WhatIfSports.com’s NFL simulation engine, both part of Team OddsShark, will share three of their five Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest picks. Deadline for entering picks is 8pm ET Fridays.

Follow Team OddsShark’s performance all season long with weekly picks (posted each Saturday afternoon) and current standings.

Picks subject to change after initial publication.

Ryan Fowler – FOX Sports

Cowboys (PK) over Dolphins

Cardinals (-5) over Bengals

Patriots (-7) over Bills

Tom Brady under the lights will do everything he can to blow out another team at his home stadium. Danny Amendola will have a big first game in place of Julian Edelman.

WhatIfSports – NFL Simulation Engine

Panthers (-7) cover against Redskins

WhatIfSports.com’s NFL simulation engine played every Week 11 contest 501 times to predict the outcomes for this weekend’s games. Carolina is heavily favored against the visiting Redskins, with the Panthers winning 81.8 percent of simulations by an average score of 26-15. For the purpose of the simulations, the Panthers were favored by seven and a half points, covering the spread 57.5 percent of the time. View the box score.

Raiders (-2) cover against Lions

Oakland is favored by two points for its visit to Detroit, but our simulation engine envisions Derek Carr picking apart a Lions defense that has surrendered the 10th-most passing yards in the NFL. In 501 simulations, Oakland came out on top 70.3 percent of the time, beating the Lions by an average score of 28-22. Based on a one-point spread, the Raiders covered 70.1 percent of the time. View the box score.

Broncos (+1) over Bears

Peyton Manning will ride the pine this week, opening the door for Brock Osweiler to get the start. Osweiler is light on experience, but the Broncos don’t need him to do too much. If Osweiler can avoid turnovers, the Denver defense and running game should be able to do the rest. Our NFL simulation engine predicts the Broncos to win 65.2 percent of the time by an average score of 26-21. Based on a one and a half point spread, Denver covered in 66.3 percent of simulations. View the box score.

Week 11 Trends (Courtesy: OddsShark)

Titans at Jaguars

The total has gone over in seven of the Jaguars’ last nine games after winning as an underdog.

The Jaguars are 2-5 SU and ATS in their last seven games at home in November.

The Jaguars are 6-14 SU in their last 20 games at home.

The Titans are 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine games against the Jaguars.

The Titans are 2-5 SU in their last seven games against the Jaguars in November.

The Titans are 2-17 SU in their last 19 games.

The Titans are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games after a loss.

The Titans are 5-2 ATS in their last seven TNF games.

Colts at Falcons

The total has gone over in the Colts’ last three games on the road against the Falcons.

The Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against the Falcons.

The Falcons are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games after consecutive ATS losses.

The Falcons are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as home favorites.

The Falcons are 6-0 SU in their last six games after the bye.

The Colts are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as road underdogs in November.

The Colts are 0-3 SU in their last three games after winning as an underdog.

The Colts are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games after the bye.

Broncos at Bears

The Broncos are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games against the Bears.

The Bears are 1-11 SU and 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games as home underdogs.

The Bears are 3-0 ATS in their last three games after winning as an underdog.

The total has gone under in five of the Bears’ last seven games.

The Broncos are 15-4 SU in their last 19 games in Week 11.

The Broncos are 12-1 SU and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after a loss.

The Broncos are 4-1 SU in their last five games on the road.

49ers at Seahawks

The visiting team is 3-11 SU and 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games in this matchup.

The 49ers are 0-9 ATS in their last nine games against the Seahawks.

The 49ers are 2-8-1 SU in their last 11 games after the bye.

The 49ers are 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS in their last six games on the road.

The total has gone under in the 49ers’ last five games in November.

The Seahawks are 10-3 SU in their last 13 games after losing as favorite.

The Seahawks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 11.

The total has gone over in five of the Seahawks’ last seven games at home.

Chiefs at Chargers

The Chiefs are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games against the Chargers in November.

The visiting team is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games in this matchup.

The Chargers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games after losing as favorite.

The Chargers are 1-4 SU and ATS in their last five games as home underdogs.

The total has gone under in five of Chargers’ last seven games in Week 11.

The Chargers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games after the bye.

The Chiefs are 7-3 SU and ATS in their last 10 games as road favorites.

The Chiefs are 4-1 SU and ATS in their last five games after winning as an underdog.

Bengals at Cardinals

The visiting team is 1-7 SU and 2-6 ATS in its last eight games in this matchup.

The Bengals are 0-3 SU and ATS in their last three games on the road against the Cardinals.

The Cardinals are 10-4 SU and ATS in their last 14 games after a win.

The total has gone over in 10 of the Cardinals’ last 11 games as home favorites in November.

The Cardinals are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games at home.

The Bengals are 7-2 SU and ATS in their last nine games as underdogs.

The total has gone under in eight of the Bengals’ last 11 games on the road.

Buccaneers at Eagles

The Buccaneers are 0-3 SU and ATS in their last three games against the Eagles.

The Eagles are 6-2 SU and ATS in their last eight games after losing as favorite.

The Eagles are 8-2 SU and ATS in their last 10 games in November.

The total has gone under in seven of the Eagles’ last nine games.

The Buccaneers are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games in Week 11.

The Buccaneers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games as road underdogs in November.

The total has gone under in four of the Buccaneers’ last five games on the road.

Cowboys at Dolphins

The visiting team is 6-2 SU in its last eight games in this matchup.

The Cowboys are 4-1 SU in their last five games against the Dolphins.

The Dolphins are 1-6 SU in their last seven games after a win.

The total has gone under in eight of the Dolphins’ last nine games at home in November.

The Dolphins are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games.

The Cowboys are 8-0 SU in their last eight games in Week 11.

The Cowboys are 10-4 SU in their last 14 games on the road.

The Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last five games in November.

Jets at Texans

The favored team is 0-3 ATS in its last three games in this matchup.

The Jets are 5-1 SU and ATS in their last six games against the Texans.

The Texans are 0-6 ATS in their last six games as home underdogs in November.

The Jets are 0-5 SU and ATS in their last five games on the road in November.

The Jets are 1-12 ATS in their last 13 games after losing as favorite.

The total has gone over in four of the Jets’ last five games.

The Texans are 5-2 SU in their last seven games at home.

The total has gone over in the Texans’ last six games as home underdogs in November.

Packers at Vikings

The visiting team is 2-7 ATS in its last nine games in this matchup.

The Packers are 4-1 SU and ATS in their last five games on the road against the Vikings in November.

The Vikings are 15-3 SU in their last 18 games at home in November.

The Vikings are 0-4 SU and ATS in their last four games in Week 11.

The total has gone under in seven of the Vikings’ last 10 games.

The Packers are 7-2-1 SU in their last 10 games after consecutive losses.

The Packers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games.

The total has gone under in five of the Packers’ last six games.

Raiders at Lions

The favored team is 5-2 SU in its last seven games in this matchup.

The Raiders are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against the Lions.

The Lions are 3-0 ATS in their last three games at home in November.

The Lions are 2-12 SU in their last 14 games in Week 11.

The total has gone over in four of the Lions’ last five games.

The Raiders are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games after an ATS loss.

The Raiders are 1-10 SU and ATS in their last 11 games as favorites in November.

The total has gone over in nine of the Raiders’ last 12 games.

Rams at Ravens

The total has gone over in six of the Rams’ last eight games against the Ravens.

The Rams are 1-3 SU in their last four games on the road against the Ravens.

The Ravens are 13-5 SU in their last 18 games after losing as favorite.

The Ravens are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games after a loss.

The total has gone under in eight of the Ravens’ last 10 games after consecutive ATS losses.

The Rams are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games in Week 11.

The Rams are 15-51-1 SU in their last 67 games after consecutive losses.

The total has gone under in five of the Rams’ last six games on the road.

Redskins at Panthers

The visiting team is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games in this matchup.

The favored team is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games in this matchup.

The Redskins are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as underdogs against the Panthers.

The Panthers are 1-5 SU in their last six games in Week 11.

The Panthers are 8-0 SU in their last eight games at home.

The total has gone over in five of the Panthers’ last seven games.

The Redskins are 0-14 SU in their last 14 games after an ATS win.

The Redskins are 1-8 SU and 2-7 ATS in their last nine games in November.

Bills at Patriots

The Bills are 2-18 SU in their last 20 games against the Patriots.

The Bills are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games on the road against the Patriots in November.

The Patriots are 13-2 SU and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games in November.

The total has gone over in six of the Patriots’ last eight games as favorites in November.

The Bills are 0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS in their last seven games after consecutive wins.

The Bills are 2-13 SU in their last 15 games after winning as an underdog.

The total has gone under in nine of the Bills’ last 12 games as underdogs.

The Patriots are 11-3 SU in their last 14 MNF games.

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