Red Sox vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 16

Updated May. 16, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

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Yandy Diaz and the Tampa Bay Rays take the field on Thursday at Fenway Park against Cooper Criswell, who is the named starter for the Boston Red Sox. First pitch is set for 7:10 PM ET for the final game of a four-game series. The Red Sox are the favorite in this one, at -110, while the underdog Rays have -110 odds to upset. Tampa Bay is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 8 runs for this game (with -103 odds to go over and -117 odds on the under).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Rays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Rays vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best plays and moments as the Tampa Bay Rays took on the Boston Red Sox.

Red Sox vs. Rays Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, May 16, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to Watch on TV: BSSUN

Red Sox vs. Rays Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 3, Rays 2
• Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Red Sox 62%, Rays 38%

Red Sox vs. Rays Betting Insights

• This season, the Red Sox have won 12 out of the 20 games, or 60%, in which they've been favored.
• Boston has entered 21 games this season favored by -110 or more and is 12-9 in those contests.
• The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 52.4%.
• The Rays have been victorious in six, or 46.2%, of the 13 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Tampa Bay has come away with a win six times in 13 chances when named as an underdog of at least -110 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Rays have an implied victory probability of 52.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL

TB 7 · BOS 5

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Tampa Bay Rays

TB

-1.5

-110

o8

Boston Red Sox

BOS

+1.5

-110

u8

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox played as the moneyline favorite in six of their last 10 games, and went 3-3 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Red Sox combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total two times.
• The Red Sox's ATS record is 2-8-0 over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Jarren Duran is batting .263 with 11 doubles, six triples, a home run and 16 walks.
• In all of the majors, Duran is 269th in home runs and 112th in RBI.
• Tyler O'Neill has put his power on display as he leads his team with 10 home runs.
• O'Neill ranks eighth in home runs and 112th in RBI in the majors.
• Wilyer Abreu is hitting .283 with 10 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 16 walks.
• Rafael Devers' .281 batting average is a team-high mark.
• Devers has recorded at least one hit in five straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .286 with three doubles, a home run and three RBI.

Red Sox Team Props

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Rays matchup on Fox Sports.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• The Rays have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• The Rays and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Rays have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• Isaac Paredes leads the Rays with eight home runs and 23 runs batted in, while posting a team-best batting average of .302.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Paredes ranks 29th in homers and 45th in RBI.
• Paredes brings a hitting streak of four games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with a double, a walk and three RBI.
• Diaz has nine doubles, three home runs and 14 walks while hitting .253.
• Diaz ranks 155th in home runs and 60th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Amed Rosario is batting .300 with six doubles, three triples, two home runs and three walks.
• Jose Caballero is hitting .252 with seven doubles, a triple, two home runs and eight walks.

Rays Team Props

Rays vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best plays and moments as the Tampa Bay Rays took on the Boston Red Sox.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox - 05/16/2024