The Cleveland Guardians and Josh Naylor hit the field at Progressive Field against Nicholas Castellanos and the Philadelphia Phillies on Saturday. The favored Phillies have -125 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Guardians, who are listed at +105. Philadelphia is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +135 odds). The over/under for the contest has been set at 8 runs.
The Phillies will give the ball to Zack Wheeler (7-4) against the Guardians and Tanner Bibee (5-2).
Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Guardians game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):
Phillies vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds
- When: Saturday, July 22, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
- Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
- How to Watch on TV: BSGL
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -125 | +105 | 8 | -114 | -106 | -1.5 | +135 | -159 |
Phillies vs. Guardians Prediction
- Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Phillies 4
- Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
- Win Probabilities: Phillies 51%, Guardians 49%
Phillies vs. Guardians Betting Insights
- This season, the Phillies have won 36 out of the 61 games, or 59%, in which they've been favored.
- Philadelphia has entered 43 games this season favored by -125 or more and is 28-15 in those contests.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 55.6% chance to win.
- The Guardians have been chosen as underdogs in 44 games this year and have walked away with the win 19 times (43.2%) in those games.
- Cleveland has a mark of 13-19 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +105 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 48.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
Phillies Recent Betting Performance
- The Phillies were favored on the moneyline in six of their last 10 games, and they finished 3-3 in those matchups.
- Over their last 10 outings, the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over seven times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
- The Phillies have a 2-8-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.
Phillies Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.60 |
| K/9 | 7.3 |
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Phillies Player Insights
- Bryson Stott paces the Phillies with a .307 batting average.
- Of all hitters in the majors, Stott ranks 145th in homers and 131st in RBI.
- Stott has collected a hit in six straight games. In his last 10 games he is hitting .382 with two doubles, two home runs, two walks and four RBI.
- Castellanos is batting .286 with 26 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 24 walks.
- Castellanos is 65th in homers and 25th in RBI in the majors.
- Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with 26 home runs and 60 runs batted in.
- Alec Bohm is batting .281 with 16 doubles, nine home runs and 23 walks.
Phillies Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 (-233) | 1.5 (+140) | 0.5 (+750) | 0.5 (+165) |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 (-238) | 1.5 (+115) | 0.5 (+450) | 0.5 (+150) |
| Bryce Harper | 1.5 (+190) | 1.5 (+100) | 0.5 (+425) | 0.5 (+150) |
| Trea Turner | 1.5 (+200) | 1.5 (+100) | 0.5 (+500) | 0.5 (+175) |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 (-263) | 1.5 (+130) | 0.5 (+850) | 0.5 (+180) |
Learn more about this Phillies vs. Guardians matchup on Fox Sports.
Guardians Recent Betting Performance
- The Guardians have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Guardians and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.
- The Guardians have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.
Guardians Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.5 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.50 |
| K/9 | 9.3 |
Guardians Player Insights
- Jose Ramirez has 25 doubles, four triples, 14 home runs and 44 walks while hitting .292.
- Among all hitters in the big leagues, Ramirez's home run total ranks 65th and his RBI tally is 38th.
- Ramirez has collected a hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .409 with two doubles, two walks and an RBI.
- Naylor's 15 home runs, 76 runs batted in and .315 batting average are all tops in the lineup.
- Naylor is 49th in home runs and third in RBI among all batters in the majors.
- Steven Kwan has 25 doubles, two triples, three home runs and 42 walks while batting .271.
- Andres Gimenez has 14 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 20 walks while batting .243.
Guardians Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Kwan | 1.5 (+195) | 1.5 (+125) | 0.5 (+1200) | 0.5 (+265) |
| José Ramírez | 0.5 (-256) | 1.5 (+120) | 0.5 (+500) | 0.5 (+160) |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 (-204) | 1.5 (+140) | 0.5 (+500) | 0.5 (+175) |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 (-263) | 1.5 (+140) | 0.5 (+900) | 0.5 (+215) |
| Josh Naylor | 0.5 (-278) | 1.5 (+110) | 0.5 (+475) | 0.5 (+135) |
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