Diamondbacks vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 22

Diamondbacks vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 22

Updated Jul. 22, 2023 4:06 p.m. ET

Corbin Carroll and Jonathan India are the hottest hitters on the Arizona Diamondbacks and Cincinnati Reds, who meet on Saturday at Great American Ball Park, at 4:10 PM ET. Bookmakers list the Diamondbacks as -114 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Reds -105 moneyline odds to win. Arizona is a 1.5-run favorite (at +134 odds). The over/under for the matchup has been set at 11 runs.

The starting pitchers are Brandon Pfaadt for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and Brandon Williamson (1-2) for the Cincinnati Reds.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Diamondbacks-Reds game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Diamondbacks vs. Reds Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Saturday, July 22, 2023 at 4:10 PM ET
  • Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
  • How to Watch on TV: BSOH
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Diamondbacks -114 -105 11 -106 -114 -1.5 +134 -158

Diamondbacks vs. Reds Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Reds 6, Diamondbacks 5
  • Total Prediction: Under 11 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Diamondbacks 52%, Reds 48%

Diamondbacks vs. Reds Betting Insights

  • The Diamondbacks have won 28, or 65.1%, of the 43 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Arizona has entered 42 games this season favored by -114 or more and is 28-14 in those contests.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 53.3% chance to win.
  • The Reds have won in 34, or 48.6%, of the 70 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, Cincinnati has been victorious 30 times in 65 chances when named as an underdog of at least -105 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Reds have an implied victory probability of 51.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

  • The Diamondbacks went 2-1 over the three games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups, the Diamondbacks and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Diamondbacks' ATS record is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 5.3
HR 13
ERA 5.86
K/9 7.5

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Diamondbacks Player Insights

  • Carroll is stellar at getting on base when he's at the plate. Carroll leads the Diamondbacks this season with a .362 OBP and 95 base hits.
  • Of all hitters in the majors, Carroll's home run total places him 20th, and his RBI tally puts him 53rd.
  • Ketel Marte is batting .286 to lead his team.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Marte ranks 32nd in home runs and 38th in RBI.
  • Marte heads into this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with three doubles, two triples, two home runs, a walk and 10 RBI.
  • Christian Walker has accumulated a team-best 20 home runs and 63 runs batted in.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has 22 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 21 walks while batting .260.

Diamondbacks Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Corbin Carroll 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+155)
Evan Longoria 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+250) 0.5 (+115)
Gabriel Moreno 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+195)
Nick Ahmed 0.5 (-196) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+195)
Christian Walker 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (-110) 0.5 (+260) 0.5 (+105)

Learn more about this Diamondbacks vs. Reds matchup on Fox Sports.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

  • The Reds have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and have gone 1-4 in those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Reds and their opponents are 4-6-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Reds have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4
HR 12
ERA 3.60
K/9 8.2

Reds Player Insights

  • India paces the Reds with 14 long balls.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, India's home run total ranks 64th and his RBI tally ranks 53rd.
  • India has collected a hit in five games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .429 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and two RBI.
  • Spencer Steer has shown off his power as he paces his team with 14 home runs.
  • Steer ranks 64th in homers and 38th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Jake Fraley has racked up a team-high 56 runs batted in.
  • TJ Friedl leads the Reds with a .284 batting average.

Reds Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jonathan India 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+160)
Spencer Steer 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+175)
Joey Votto 0.5 (-185) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+310) 0.5 (+140)
TJ Friedl 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+210)
Tyler Stephenson 0.5 (-185) 0.5 (-185) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+215)

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