Astros vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 1

Updated Oct. 1, 2023 3:06 p.m. ET

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Kyle Tucker and the Houston Astros will look to get to Kyle Nelson when he takes the mound for the Arizona Diamondbacks on Sunday at 3:10 PM ET. The Astros are listed as -223 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Diamondbacks (+185). Houston is a 1.5-run favorite (at -136 odds). The matchup's total has been set at 9 runs.

The Astros will give the ball to Cristian Javier (9-5) against the Diamondbacks and Nelson (7-3).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Astros-Diamondbacks game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Astros vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, October 1, 2023 at 3:10 PM ET
• Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
• How to Watch on TV: ARID

Astros vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

• Score Prediction: Diamondbacks 6, Astros 5
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Astros 50%, Diamondbacks 50%

Astros vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

• The Astros have won 60, or 51.3%, of the 117 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Houston has a record of 13-7, a 65% win rate, when favored by -223 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 69% chance of a victory for the Astros.
• The Diamondbacks have won in 41, or 47.7%, of the 86 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• Arizona has a mark of 2-2 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +185 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 35.1% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

• The Astros played as the moneyline favorite for six of their last 10 games, and they went 2-4 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Astros and their opponents combined to hit the over four times.
• The Astros' record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Astros Player Insights

• Tucker is the Astros best hitter, putting together an average of .282 while also being the team's top run producer, delivering 111 RBI and launching 29 homers.
• Among all hitters in baseball, Tucker's home run total places him 29th, and his RBI tally puts him third.
• Tucker has collected a hit in five games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and two RBI.
• Alex Bregman is hitting .261 with 28 doubles, three triples, 24 home runs and 92 walks.
• Including all MLB hitters, Bregman is 52nd in home runs and 25th in RBI.
• Bregman carries a four-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .238 with a double and two walks.
• Yordan Alvarez has launched a team-high 31 homers.
• Alvarez is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with a double, two home runs, two walks and two RBI.
• Jose Altuve is hitting .312 with 21 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 44 walks.

Astros Team Props

Learn more about this Astros vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, the Diamondbacks have been underdogs twice and split those games 1-1.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• Over their last 10 games, the Diamondbacks are 6-4-0 against the spread.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Diamondbacks Player Insights

• Corbin Carroll leads the Diamondbacks with a .287 batting average.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Carroll's home run total is 45th and his RBI tally ranks 70th.
• Christian Walker been a consistent power bat this season, as he paces his team with 33 home runs and 103 RBI.
• Walker is currently 16th in homers and 12th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Ketel Marte has 26 doubles, nine triples, 25 home runs and 71 walks while hitting .276.
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has 34 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 33 walks while hitting .261.

Diamondbacks Team Props

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MLB - Houston Astros vs. Arizona Diamondbacks - 10/01/2023