Phillies vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 26

Phillies vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 26

Updated Jul. 26, 2023 6:00 p.m. ET

The Baltimore Orioles and Gunnar Henderson square off against Kyle Schwarber and the Philadelphia Phillies on Wednesday, in the final game of a three-game series at Citizens Bank Park. The favored Phillies have -112 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Orioles, who are listed at -107. Baltimore is favored on the run line (-1.5). The contest's over/under has been set at 9.5 runs.

The Phillies will start Ranger Suarez (2-5) versus the Orioles and Kyle Bradish (6-5).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Orioles game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Phillies vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, July 26, 2023 at 6:05 PM ET
  • Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Phillies -112 -107 9.5 -107 -113 -1.5 -181 +152

Phillies vs. Orioles Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Orioles 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Phillies 52%, Orioles 48%

Phillies vs. Orioles Betting Insights

  • This season, the Phillies have been favored 65 times and won 38, or 58.5%, of those games.
  • This season Philadelphia has won 37 of its 62 games, or 59.7%, when favored by at least -112 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 52.8%.
  • The Orioles have been underdogs in 52 games this season and have come away with the win 28 times (53.8%) in those contests.
  • This season, Baltimore has been victorious 28 times in 49 chances when named as an underdog of at least -107 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Orioles have a 51.7% chance of pulling out a win.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

  • The Phillies were favored on the moneyline in each of their last 10 games, and they went 5-5 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Phillies and their opponents combined to hit the over four times.
  • The Phillies' ATS record is 2-8-0 over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.2
HR 9
ERA 3.42
K/9 7.7

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Phillies Player Insights

  • Bryson Stott has put up a team-high batting average of .300.
  • Of all hitters in baseball, Stott ranks 155th in home runs and 134th in RBI.
  • Schwarber's 26 home runs and 62 RBI are both team-highs.
  • Schwarber is sixth in home runs and 20th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .280 with 26 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 25 walks.
  • Alec Bohm has capitalized on opportunities as he leads his team with 62 RBI.
  • Bohm is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .353 with a double and three RBI.

Phillies Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Trea Turner 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+180)
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 (-244) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+140)
Bryson Stott 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+950) 0.5 (+175)
Bryce Harper 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+175)
Alec Bohm 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+150)

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

  • In eight games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Orioles have a record of 5-3.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Orioles and their opponents are 4-5-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Orioles have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 8
ERA 4.44
K/9 8.5

Orioles Player Insights

  • Adley Rutschman is hitting .268 with 17 doubles, 13 home runs and 60 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .370.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Rutschman's home run total is 83rd and his RBI tally is 93rd.
  • Anthony Santander has hit 17 home runs with 55 runs batted in, leading the team in both categories.
  • Santander is 33rd among all batters in the majors in homers, and 45th in RBI.
  • Adam Frazier has 14 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 24 walks while batting .241.
  • Henderson is hitting .241 with 12 doubles, five triples, 16 home runs and 43 walks.

Orioles Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Adley Rutschman 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+195)
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+155) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+180)
James McCann 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+185)
Ryan Mountcastle 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+140)
Anthony Santander 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+310) 0.5 (+145)

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