Blue Jays vs. Yankees Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 28

Updated Sep. 28, 2023 7:09 p.m. ET

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Luke Weaver takes the mound for the New York Yankees on Thursday at Rogers Centre against Daulton Varsho and the Toronto Blue Jays. First pitch is at 7:07 PM ET for the final game of a three-game series. The favored Blue Jays have -183 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Yankees, who are listed at +155. Toronto is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +111 odds). The total for the game is set at 8.5 runs.

The Toronto Blue Jays will give the start to Chris Bassitt (15-8, 3.74 ERA), who is looking for win No. 16 on the season, and the Yankees will counter with Weaver (3-5, 6.47 ERA).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Blue Jays-Yankees game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Blue Jays vs. Yankees Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, September 28, 2023 at 7:07 PM ET
• Where: Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario
• How to Watch on TV: SNET

Blue Jays vs. Yankees Prediction

• Score Prediction: Blue Jays 5, Yankees 4
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Blue Jays 55%, Yankees 45%

Blue Jays vs. Yankees Betting Insights

• The Blue Jays have entered the game as favorites 116 times this season and won 63, or 54.3%, of those games.
• Toronto has a record of 19-12, a 61.3% win rate, when favored by -183 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Blue Jays, based on the moneyline, is 64.7%.
• The Yankees have come away with 29 wins in the 63 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• New York has a mark of 1-4 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +155 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Yankees have an implied victory probability of 39.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

• The Blue Jays were the moneyline favorite in five of their last 10 games, and they went 3-2 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Blue Jays and their opponents combined to go over the total four times.
• The Blue Jays' record against the spread is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Blue Jays Player Insights

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is the Blue Jays best power option, crushing 26 home runs this season in addition to delivering 94 RBI, both team highs.
• Guerrero is 38th in home runs and 29th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• George Springer is batting .254 with 23 doubles, a triple, 21 home runs and 59 walks.
• Springer is 76th in home runs and 80th in RBI on the year.
• Bo Bichette has accumulated a team-best batting average of .300.
• Whit Merrifield is hitting .276 with 27 doubles, 11 home runs and 36 walks.

Blue Jays Team Props

Learn more about this Blue Jays vs. Yankees matchup on Fox Sports.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and have gone 4-2 in those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Yankees and their opponents are 3-5-2 when it comes to hitting the over.
• Over their last 10 games, the Yankees are 6-4-0 against the spread.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Gleyber Torres paces the Yankees with a team-high batting average of .272.
• Torres is 44th in homers and 102nd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Torres brings a hitting streak of four games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .263 with a double and three walks.
• Aaron Judge been a consistent power bat this season, as he leads his team with 37 home runs and 75 RBI.
• Judge ranks ninth in homers and 68th in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
• Anthony Volpe is batting .207 with 22 doubles, four triples, 21 home runs and 52 walks.
• DJ LeMahieu is hitting .243 with 22 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 58 walks.

Yankees Team Props

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MLB - New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays - 09/28/2023