Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 5

Updated Aug. 5, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

William Contreras and the Milwaukee Brewers play Bryan Reynolds and the Pittsburgh Pirates on Saturday at 7:10 PM ET, in the third of a four-game series at American Family Field. The Pirates are listed as +216 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favorite Brewers (-266). Milwaukee (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The total is 8 runs for this contest.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Milwaukee Brewers looking to Corbin Burnes (9-6), and Bailey Falter answering the bell for the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Pirates game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Brewers vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
How to Watch on TV: BSWI

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Brewers	-266	+216	8	-107	-113	-1.5	-128	+108

Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction

Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Pirates 4
Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Brewers 56%, Pirates 44%

Brewers vs. Pirates Betting Insights

This season, the Brewers have been favored 55 times and won 31, or 56.4%, of those games.
Milwaukee has played as favorites of -266 or more once this season and won that game.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 72.7% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
The Pirates have come away with 36 wins in the 87 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win three times in four chances when named as an underdog of at least +216 or longer on the moneyline.
The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 31.6% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

The Brewers have a 3-4 record from the seven games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Brewers combined with their opponents to go over the total six times.
The Brewers are 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	5.3
HR	11
ERA	5.51
K/9	9.3

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Brewers Player Insights

Christian Yelich paces the Brewers in runs batted in (63) and has a team-high batting average of .293.
Yelich's home runs put him 66th in MLB, and he is 34th in RBI.
Yelich carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .409 with three doubles, two walks and three RBI.
Carlos Santana has 25 doubles, 14 home runs and 47 walks while batting .230.
Santana is 85th in home runs and 59th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
Santana carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .182 with a home run and two RBI.
Contreras has 24 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 33 walks while batting .276.
Contreras is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .273 with three doubles and four RBI.
Willy Adames has shown his power as he leads his team with 17 home runs.

Brewers Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Carlos Santana	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+155)
Christian Yelich	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+205)
Mark Canha	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+200)
Willy Adames	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+350)	0.5 (+140)
William Contreras	1.5 (+170)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+370)	0.5 (+145)

Learn more about this Brewers vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

In nine games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Pirates have a record of 5-4.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
Over their last 10 games, the Pirates are 7-3-0 against the spread.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.2
HR	15
ERA	4.85
K/9	9.2

Pirates Player Insights

Reynolds leads the Pirates with a .268 batting average.
In all of the majors, Reynolds is 100th in home runs and 75th in RBI.
Reynolds brings a hitting streak of eight games into this game. During his last 10 games he is hitting .333 with a double, three home runs, a walk and five RBI.
Andrew McCutchen is batting .264 with 13 doubles, 10 home runs and 60 walks.
McCutchen ranks 151st overall in homers and 211th in RBI this season.
Jack Suwinski paces the Pirates in home runs (21) and runs batted in (53).
Ke'Bryan Hayes has 16 doubles, five triples, five home runs and 16 walks while batting .249.

Pirates Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Andrew McCutchen	0.5 (-164)	0.5 (-164)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+245)
Ke'Bryan Hayes	0.5 (-175)	0.5 (-175)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+240)
Bryan Reynolds	0.5 (-175)	0.5 (-175)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+290)
Alfonso Rivas	0.5 (-115)	0.5 (-115)	0.5 (+1200)	0.5 (+320)
Joshua Palacios	0.5 (-179)	0.5 (-179)	0.5 (+1100)	0.5 (+370)

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