Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Game 4 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - May 12

Updated May. 12, 2024 3:22 p.m. ET

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The Minnesota Timberwolves will take on the Denver Nuggets in Game 4 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs. Minnesota is a moderate 2.5-point favorite against Denver when the Timberwolves face off against the Nuggets on Sunday. The matchup has an over/under of 204.5.

Here's everything you need to know to know about the Timberwolves-Nuggets game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Sunday, May 12, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET
• Where: Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• TV: TNT

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Prediction

ATS Pick: Timberwolves (- 2.5)
O/U Pick: Over (204.5)
Score Prediction: Timberwolves 113 - Nuggets 108

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Betting Insights

• Of 82 games so far this year, the Timberwolves have played 69 with over 204.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total.
• The Nuggets have played in 72 games this season (87.8% of chances) in which the teams combined to score more than 204.5 points.
• These teams average 227.9 points per game combined, 23.4 more than the total of 204.5.
• Opponents of the two teams average a combined 11.6 more points per game, 216.1, than this matchup's over/under of 204.5 points.
• Minnesota has come away with 46 wins in the 61 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.
• Denver has won in four of the 10 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
• Minnesota has taken four of its last seven head-to-head matchups against Denver.
• The Timberwolves have an advantage against the spread as well (5-2) when taking the court against the Nuggets.
• The Timberwolves have been favored in three of their past four games, and failed to cover the spread in all four.

FINAL

DEN 115 · MIN 107

NBA

SPREAD

TO WIN

TOTAL

Denver Nuggets

DEN

+3.5

+143

o205

Minnesota Timberwolves

MIN

-3.5

-169

u205

Timberwolves Recent Trends

• The Timberwolves have gone 7-3 over their past 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span.
• Minnesota has averaged a total of 194.0 combined points in its last 10 games, 10.5 less than this game's over/under of 204.5.
• In the Timberwolves' 82 games this year, they have 40 wins against the spread.
• Minnesota has an ATS record of 23-28-2 in its 53 games when favored by 2.5 points or more so far this season.
• Timberwolves games this year have hit the over on 41 of 82 set point totals.
• The Timberwolves score 113.0 points per game, only 3.4 more points than the 109.6 the Nuggets allow.
• When Minnesota puts up more than 109.6 points, it is 35-18 against the spread and 43-10 overall.
• This season, the Timberwolves have a 48.5% shooting percentage from the field, which is 2.3% higher than the 46.2% of shots the Nuggets' opponents have made.
• The Timberwolves have done a better job covering the spread on the road (22-18-1) than they have in home games (18-22-1).
• Minnesota has eclipsed the over/under in 18 of 41 home games (43.9%). It has fared better on the road, eclipsing the total in 23 of 41 matchups (56.1%).
• The Timberwolves have won a lower percentage of their games as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 27-10 (.730). In road games as a moneyline favorite, they have a record of 19-5 (.792).

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Timberwolves Leaders

• Anthony Edwards averages 25.9 points, 5.1 assists and 5.4 rebounds per contest.
• Rudy Gobert puts up 14.0 points, 1.3 assists and 12.9 rebounds per game.
• Karl-Anthony Towns posts 21.8 points, 3.0 assists and 8.3 rebounds per game.
• Naz Reid posts 13.5 points, 5.2 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest, shooting 47.7% from the field and 41.4% from beyond the arc with 2.1 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Mike Conley averages 11.4 points, 2.9 boards and 5.9 assists per contest. Defensively he averages 1.2 steals and 0.2 blocks.

Timberwolves Player Props

Nuggets Recent Trends

• The Nuggets are 4-6 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their past 10 contests.
• Denver and its opponents have combined to score an average of 216.9 combined points over its last 10 games, 12.4 more than the 204.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Nuggets are 38-42-1 against the spread this year.
• Denver has an against the spread record of 3-3 in its six games as an underdog of 2.5 points or more this year.
• The Nuggets have gone over the point total 41.5% of the time this year (34 of 82 games with a set point total).
• The Nuggets put up 8.4 more points per game (114.9) than the Timberwolves give up (106.5).
• Denver has put together a 35-26-1 ATS record and a 53-10 overall record in games it scores more than 106.5 points.
• The Nuggets' 49.6% shooting percentage from the field this season is 4.6 percentage points higher than the Timberwolves have allowed to their opponents (45.0%).
• The Nuggets' winning percentage against the spread at home is .512 (21-19-0). Away, it is .415 (17-23-1).
• Looking at the over/under, Denver's games have gone over 18 of 41 times at home (43.9%), and 16 of 41 away (39%).
• The Nuggets' winning percentage at home when moneyline favorites is .800 (32-8), and on the road it is .656 (21-11).

Nuggets Recent Stats

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic puts up 26.4 points, 12.4 rebounds and 9.0 assists per game for the Nuggets.
• On a per-game basis, Michael Porter Jr. gives the Nuggets 16.7 points, 7.0 rebounds and 1.5 assists. He also averages 0.5 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.
• Jamal Murray gives the Nuggets 21.2 points, 4.1 rebounds and 6.5 assists per game while posting 1.0 steal and 0.7 blocked shots.
• Aaron Gordon is putting up 13.9 points, 6.5 rebounds and 3.5 assists per contest. He is making 55.6% of his shots from the floor.
• Reggie Jackson gets the Nuggets 10.2 points, 1.9 rebounds and 3.8 assists per contest while putting up 0.5 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.

Nuggets Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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NBA - Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves - 05/13/2024