Padres vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 30

Padres vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 30

Updated Apr. 30, 2024 9:00 p.m. ET

Tyler Stephenson and the Cincinnati Reds head into a matchup with Ha-Seong Kim and the San Diego Padres on Tuesday at 9:40 PM ET. The Padres are the favorite in this one, at -141, while the underdog Reds have +119 odds to play spoiler. San Diego (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The total is 8 runs for the game.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Reds game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Reds vs. Padres Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Cincinnati Reds and the San Diego Padres.

Padres vs. Reds Game Information & Odds

  • When: Tuesday, April 30, 2024 at 9:40 PM ET
  • Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
  • How to Watch on TV: BSOH
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Padres -141 +119 8 -117 -104 -1.5 +150 -181

Padres vs. Reds Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Reds 6, Padres 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Padres 51%, Reds 49%

Padres vs. Reds Betting Insights

  • The Padres have been favorites in 19 games this season and won nine (47.4%) of those contests.
  • San Diego has a record of 5-5, a 50% win rate, when favored by -141 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The Padres have a 58.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Reds have been underdogs in 14 games this season and have come away with the win five times (35.7%) in those contests.
  • This year, Cincinnati has won two of five games when listed as at least +119 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 45.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
FINAL
CIN 4 · SD 6
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Cincinnati Reds
CIN
San Diego Padres
SD

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • The Padres were the moneyline favorite for eight of their last 10 games, and they finished 3-5 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Padres and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times.
  • The Padres have put together a 3-7-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 8
ERA 5.11
K/9 7.7

Padres Player Insights

  • Jurickson Profar comes into Tuesday's game hitting .294 with 19 RBI, both team-leading marks for the Padres. He has also launched four homers in 2024.
  • Profar's home runs rank him 59th in MLB, and he is 19th in RBI.
  • Profar takes a hitting streak of six games into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is hitting .290 with a double, two home runs, six walks and six RBI.
  • Kim is hitting .214 with four doubles, two triples, four home runs and 19 walks.
  • Kim ranks 59th in home runs and 35th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit a team-high six homers.
  • Jake Cronenworth has made the most of his opportunities as he leads his team with 19 RBI.
  • Cronenworth is riding a four-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .263 with three doubles, a home run, a walk and four RBI.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jurickson Profar 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+185)
Jackson Merrill 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+185)
Luis Campusano 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+160) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+185)
Manny Machado 0.5 (-256) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+140)
Fernando Tatis Jr. 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+360) 0.5 (+155)

Learn more about this Padres vs. Reds matchup on Fox Sports.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

  • In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Reds have a record of 3-4.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Reds and their opponents are 3-6-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Reds have eight wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.2
HR 7
ERA 3.38
K/9 8.1

Reds Player Insights

  • Elly De La Cruz leads the Reds with eight home runs and has accumulated a team-high batting average of .280.
  • Among all batters in MLB, De La Cruz is fifth in homers and 19th in RBI.
  • Spencer Steer has collected 21 runs batted in to pace his team.
  • Steer ranks 88th overall in home runs and 14th in RBI this season.
  • Stephenson has four doubles, three home runs and 10 walks while batting .227.
  • Jonathan India has two doubles, a triple, a home run and 15 walks while batting .227.

Reds Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Spencer Steer 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+175)
Elly De La Cruz 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+190)
Will Benson 0.5 (-149) 0.5 (-149) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+230)
Tyler Stephenson 0.5 (-196) 0.5 (-196) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+220)
Stuart Fairchild 0.5 (-125) 0.5 (-125) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+295)

Reds vs. Padres Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Cincinnati Reds and the San Diego Padres.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

ADVERTISEMENT

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

share