Astros vs. Rangers Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 7

Framber Valdez is starting for the Houston Astros on Sunday against Michael Helman and the Texas Rangers. First pitch is at 2:35 p.m. ET at Globe Life Field. The favored Astros have -140 moneyline odds against the underdog Rangers, who are listed at +119. Houston is the run-line favorite (-1.5). An 8.5-run total has been listed in the matchup.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Astros-Rangers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Astros vs. Rangers Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, September 7, 2025 at 2:35 p.m. ET
• Where: Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas
• How to watch on TV: RSN and SCHN

Astros vs. Rangers Prediction

• Score Prediction: Rangers 5, Astros 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Astros 54%, Rangers 46%

Astros vs. Rangers Betting Insights

• This season, the Astros have been favored 94 times and won 50, or 53.2%, of those games.
• Houston is 25-20 this season when entering a game favored by -140 or more on the moneyline.
• The Astros have a 58.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Rangers have been underdogs in 69 games this season and have come away with the win 25 times (36.2%) in those contests.
• This year, Texas has won three of 21 games when listed as at least +119 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rangers have a 45.7% chance of pulling out a win.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

• The Astros were the moneyline favorite in five of their last 10 games, and they finished 3-2 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Astros and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total four times.
• The Astros have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Astros Player Insights

• Jose Altuve has launched a team-best 24 homers.
• Including all MLB hitters, Altuve is 54th in batting average, 75th in on-base percentage, and 69th in slugging.
• Jeremy Pena has a club-best .304 batting average.
• Pena is 118th in homers and 130th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Pena heads into this game looking for his fifth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .261 with a home run, two walks and two RBIs.
• Yainer Diaz is batting .252 with 20 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 20 walks.
• Christian Walker's 76 runs batted in lead his team.
• Walker takes a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .211 with a double, a home run, a walk and two RBIs.

Astros Team Props

Rangers Recent Betting Performance

• The Rangers have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and have gone 2-2 in those contests.
• The Rangers and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Rangers have won seven of their last 10 games against the spread.

Rangers Recent Stats

Rangers Player Insights

• Wyatt Langford has swatted a team-high 21 long balls.
• Langford ranks 59th in homers and 103rd in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Josh Smith has 22 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 49 walks while batting .254.
• Smith ranks 207th overall in homers and 235th in RBI this season.
• Josh Jung is hitting .255 with 16 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 23 walks.
• Kyle Higashioka has 12 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 17 walks while hitting .246.

Rangers Team Props

Astros vs. Rangers Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the Houston Astros and Texas Rangers.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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