Thunder vs. Mavericks Game 5 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - May 15

Updated May. 15, 2024 9:22 p.m. ET

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The Oklahoma City Thunder will take on the Dallas Mavericks in Game 5 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs. The Thunder are currently 4.5-point favorites against the Mavericks. The over/under is 212 points for the game.

Here's everything you need to know about the Thunder-Mavericks game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Thunder vs. Mavericks Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Wednesday, May 15, 2024 at 9:30 PM ET
• Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• TV: TNT and truTV

Thunder vs. Mavericks Prediction

ATS Pick: Thunder (- 4.5)
O/U Pick: Over (212)
Score Prediction: Thunder 119 - Mavericks 111

Thunder vs. Mavericks Betting Insights

• The Thunder and their opponent have combined to score over 212 points, the current matchup's over/under, in 70 of 82 games this season.
• A total of 70 Mavericks games this season (out of 82) have had more than 212 total points scored.
• The Thunder and Mavericks average 26 more points between them than the total of 212 for this matchup.
• Opponents of the two teams average a combined 16.3 more points per game (228.3) than this game's over/under of 212 points.
• Oklahoma City has won 47, or 77%, of the 61 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
• Dallas has been chosen as underdogs in 30 games this year and has walked away with the win 11 times (36.7%) in those games.
• Oklahoma City has come out on top in five of its last eight head-to-head matchups against Dallas.
• Both the Thunder and the Mavericks have 4-4 records against the spread in those contests.
• In their past four contests the Thunder have covered the spread, and they were the favorites in all of those games.

FINAL

DAL 104 · OKC 92

NBA

SPREAD

TO WIN

TOTAL

Dallas Mavericks

DAL

+4.5

+152

o212.5

Oklahoma City Thunder

OKC

-4.5

-182

u212.5

Thunder Recent Trends

• The Thunder have a 7-3 record against the spread while finishing 8-2 overall over their last 10 games.
• Oklahoma City and its opponents have combined to score an average of 216.5 points in its last 10 games, 4.5 more than the 212 over/under in this matchup.
• In the Thunder's 82 games this year, they have 46 wins against the spread.
• Oklahoma City is 25-16 ATS when favored by 4.5 points or more this season.
• The Thunder have gone over the point total in 54.9% of their opportunities this year (45 times in 82 games with a set point total).
• The Thunder put up 120.1 points per game, only 4.5 more points than the 115.6 the Mavericks allow.
• When Oklahoma City puts up more than 115.6 points, it is 39-16 against the spread and 46-9 overall.
• The Thunder are shooting 49.9% from the field this season, 2.4 percentage points higher than the 47.5% the Mavericks allow to opponents.
• The Thunder own a better record against the spread in home games (27-14-0) than they do in away games (19-21-1).
• When it comes to point totals, Oklahoma City hits the over less consistently in home games, as it has exceeded the total 21 times in 41 opportunities this season (51.2%). On the road, it has hit the over 24 times in 41 opportunities (58.5%).
• At home, the Thunder have won more often as a moneyline favorite, putting up a record of 30-5 (.857). In away games, they are 17-9 (.654) as a moneyline favorite.

Thunder Recent Stats

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander posts 30.1 points, 6.2 assists and 5.5 boards per contest.
• Chet Holmgren puts up 16.5 points, 7.9 boards and 2.4 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.6 steals and 2.3 blocks (fourth in NBA).
• Jalen Williams posts 19.1 points, 4 rebounds and 4.5 assists per contest, shooting 54% from the field and 42.7% from downtown (ninth in NBA) with 1.5 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Josh Giddey averages 12.3 points, 4.8 assists and 6.4 rebounds.
• Luguentz Dort puts up 10.9 points, 3.6 rebounds and 1.4 assists per contest. Defensively he averages 0.9 steals and 0.6 blocks.

Thunder Player Props

Mavericks Recent Trends

• The Mavericks are 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall in their last 10 games.
• Dallas' average total over the last 10 games is 16.0 points fewer than the 212 over/under listed for this matchup.
• The Mavericks are 48-34-0 against the spread this year.
• Dallas is 4-7 ATS when underdogs by 4.5 points or more this year.
• The Mavericks have gone over the point total 43.9% of the time this year (36 of 82 games with a set point total).
• The Mavericks' 117.9 points per game are 5.2 more points than the 112.7 the Thunder give up.
• When it scores more than 112.7 points, Dallas is 40-13 against the spread and 42-11 overall.
• The Mavericks' 48.1% shooting percentage from the field this season is 2.6 percentage points higher than the Thunder have allowed to their opponents (45.5%).
• The Mavericks' winning percentage against the spread at home is .512 (21-20-0). Away, it is .659 (27-14-0).
• Looking at the over/under, Dallas' games have gone over less often at home (16 of 41, 39%) than on the road (20 of 41, 48.8%).
• The Mavericks, when moneyline favorites, have won a lower percentage of games at home (18-9) than away (19-4) this season.

Mavericks Recent Stats

Mavericks Leaders

• Luka Doncic is averaging 33.9 points, 9.2 rebounds and 9.8 assists per contest. He's also draining 48.7% of his shots from the floor and 38.2% from 3-point range, with 4.1 triples per contest (second in league).
• The Mavericks are getting 25.6 points, 5 rebounds and 5.2 assists per game from Kyrie Irving this season.
• Daniel Gafford is putting up 11 points, 7.6 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game. He is sinking 72.5% of his shots from the floor (first in league).
• P.J. Washington is averaging 12.9 points, 5.6 rebounds and 1.9 assists per contest. He is making 43.6% of his shots from the field and 32% from 3-point range, with 1.8 treys per contest.
• Tim Hardaway Jr. is averaging 14.4 points, 3.2 rebounds and 1.8 assists per contest. He is making 40.2% of his shots from the field and 35.3% from 3-point range, with 2.7 treys per game.

Mavericks Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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NBA - Dallas Mavericks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder - 05/16/2024