FIFA Men's World Cup
How can USA advance at World Cup? We track all Group B scenarios
FIFA Men's World Cup

How can USA advance at World Cup? We track all Group B scenarios

Updated Nov. 28, 2022 8:04 p.m. ET

After holding England scoreless and picking up a point on Friday, the United States can guarantee its place in the round of 16 stage with a win over Iran on Tuesday (2 p.m. ET on FOX and the FOX Sports app) — it can also still technically win Group B.

Here we break down all the outcomes and obstacles, as Gregg Berhalter’s tenacious American squad tries to find a way through the minefield.

So, get ready to watch the scoreboard — and the all-important goal-differential.

Should USMNT be worried about matchup vs. Iran?

Alexi Lalas and David Mosse react to Iran's victory over Wales and what their passionate victory means for the United States.

PERMUTATIONS AND SCENARIOS:

If USA beats Iran AND England beats Wales: USA will advance to the round of 16 as the runner-up in Group B to winners England.

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If USA beats Iran AND England ties with Wales: USA will enter a tiebreaker with England for the top spot. The first tiebreaker is goal differential and England has a four-goal advantage over the Americans because of its 6-2 win over Iran. The loser of that tiebreaker will still advance.

If USA beats Iran AND England loses to Wales: USA will advance to the round of 16 as the winners of Group B and England will advance as the runner-up.

If USA ties with OR loses to Iran AND England beats Wales: USA will be eliminated from the tournament and Iran will advance to the round of 16 as runner-up in Group B to winners England.

If USA loses to Iran AND England ties with Wales: USA will be eliminated from the tournament and Iran will advance to the round of 16 as the winners Group of B; England will advance as the runner-up.

If USA loses to Iran AND England loses to Wales: USA will be eliminated from the tournament and Iran will advance to the round of 16 as the winner of Group B: England will enter a tiebreaker with Wales based on goal differential to determine the runner-up. England has a six-goal advantage on Wales.

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Martin Rogers is a columnist for FOX Sports and the author of the FOX Sports Insider newsletter. Follow him on Twitter @MRogersFOX and subscribe to the daily newsletter.

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