
Rangers vs. Astros Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 16
Isaac Paredes and the Houston Astros will take the field on Friday at Globe Life Field against Nathan Eovaldi, who is projected to start for the Texas Rangers. First pitch will be at 8:05 p.m. ET for the second game of a four-game series. The Rangers are listed as -198 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Astros (+164). Texas (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under is 8 runs for this game.
Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Rangers-Astros game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.
Astros vs. Rangers Highlights | MLB on FOX
Rangers vs. Astros Game Information & Odds
- When: Friday, May 16, 2025 at 8:05 p.m. ET
- Where: Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas
- How to watch on TV: Apple TV+
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers | -198 | +164 | 8 | -116 | -104 | -1.5 | +104 | -124 |
Rangers vs. Astros Prediction
- Score Prediction: Rangers 4, Astros 3
- Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
- Win Probabilities: Rangers 52%, Astros 48%
Rangers vs. Astros Betting Insights
- The Rangers have won 16, or 72.7%, of the 22 games they've played as favorites this season.
- Texas has entered four games this season favored by -198 or more, and won each of those games.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rangers have a 66.4% chance to win.
- The Astros have been chosen as underdogs in 12 games this year and have walked away with the win five times (41.7%) in those games.
- Houston has yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +164.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Astros have a 37.9% chance of walking away with the win.
Rangers Recent Betting Performance
- The Rangers won each of the six games they played as a moneyline favorite over their last 10 matchups.
- In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Rangers and their opponents combined to go over the run total three times.
- The Rangers are 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.
Rangers Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 2.38 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
Rangers Player Insights
- Wyatt Langford leads the Rangers with eight homers on the year. He's also hitting .256 with 18 RBI.
- In all of MLB, Langford ranks 33rd in home runs and 107th in RBI.
- Josh Smith's .315 batting average leads his team.
- Including all major league batters, Smith ranks 138th in homers and 235th in RBI.
- Adolis Garcia has put up a team-best 24 runs batted in.
- Garcia has at least one base hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with three doubles, a home run, a walk and two RBIs.
- Josh Jung is batting .285 with six doubles, a triple, six home runs and seven walks.
Rangers Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Langford | 0.5 (-210) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+170) |
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 (-190) | 1.5 (+130) | - | 0.5 (+135) |
| Marcus Semien | 0.5 (-170) | 0.5 (-175) | - | 0.5 (+175) |
| Josh Smith | 0.5 (-185) | 0.5 (-190) | - | 0.5 (+280) |
| Josh Jung | 0.5 (-200) | 0.5 (-205) | - | 0.5 (+195) |
Astros Recent Betting Performance
- The Astros have played as underdogs three times over their past 10 games and lost each of those contests.
- The Astros and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times in their last 10 games with a total.
- The Astros have won five of their last 10 games against the spread.
Astros Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 3.62 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
Astros Player Insights
- Jeremy Pena leads the Astros with six home runs and 23 runs batted in, while posting a team-high batting average of .313.
- In all of the big leagues, Pena is 67th in homers and 58th in RBI.
- Pena has collected a hit in eight straight games. In his last 10 games he is hitting .405 with three doubles, two home runs, a walk and 11 RBIs.
- Paredes has a team-high six home runs.
- Paredes ranks 67th overall in homers and 97th in RBI this year.
- Jake Meyers is batting .293 with six doubles, a triple, two home runs and 12 walks.
- Jose Altuve has six doubles, four home runs and 11 walks while batting .250.
Astros Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yainer Diaz | 0.5 (-230) | 1.5 (+145) | - | 0.5 (+220) |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 (-245) | 1.5 (+140) | - | 0.5 (+260) |
| Zach Dezenzo | 0.5 (-140) | 0.5 (-140) | - | 0.5 (+250) |
| Victor Caratini | 0.5 (-165) | 0.5 (-165) | - | 0.5 (+235) |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 (-195) | 0.5 (-200) | - | 0.5 (+275) |
Astros vs. Rangers Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.
2026 World Baseball Classic: Braves Star Ronald Acuña Headlines Venezuela Squad
Phillies? Padres? 3 Best MLB Free Agent Fits for Giants RHP Justin Verlander
New York Yankees Superstar Aaron Judge 'MLB The Show' Cover Athlete for 2nd Time
2026 MLB Free Agent Signings, Trades: Giants Sign Outfielder Harrison Bader
FOX Sports to Air 2026 World Baseball Classic, Including March 17 Championship
10 fastest pitches in MLB History: Regular season and playoff records
2026 Grammy Awards Odds: Who Will Win Album of the Year, Best New Artist?
World Series Winners: Complete list of champions by year
What are the 100 best athlete nicknames of all time?
2026 World Baseball Classic: Braves Star Ronald Acuña Headlines Venezuela Squad
Phillies? Padres? 3 Best MLB Free Agent Fits for Giants RHP Justin Verlander
New York Yankees Superstar Aaron Judge 'MLB The Show' Cover Athlete for 2nd Time
2026 MLB Free Agent Signings, Trades: Giants Sign Outfielder Harrison Bader
FOX Sports to Air 2026 World Baseball Classic, Including March 17 Championship
10 fastest pitches in MLB History: Regular season and playoff records
2026 Grammy Awards Odds: Who Will Win Album of the Year, Best New Artist?
World Series Winners: Complete list of champions by year
What are the 100 best athlete nicknames of all time?

