Marlins vs. Astros Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 4

The Houston Astros will look to Yainer Diaz for continued offensive production when they square off against Otto Lopez and the Miami Marlins on Monday, in the first game of a three-game series at loanDepot park. The Marlins are the favorite in this one, at -130, while the underdog Astros have +109 odds to win. Miami is a 1.5-run favorite (at +159 odds). The total for the matchup has been set at 8.5 runs.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Marlins-Astros game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Marlins vs. Astros Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, August 4, 2025 at 6:40 p.m. ET
• Where: loanDepot park in Miami, Florida
• How to watch on TV: FDSFL and SCHN

Marlins vs. Astros Prediction

• Score Prediction: Marlins 6, Astros 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Marlins 51%, Astros 49%

Marlins vs. Astros Betting Insights

• This season, the Marlins have won seven out of the 14 games, or 50%, in which they've been favored.
• Miami has a record of 2-6 when favored by -130 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 56.5% chance to win.
• The Astros have been victorious in 20, or 58.8%, of the 34 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Houston has come away with a win 13 times in 21 chances when named as an underdog of at least +109 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Astros have a 47.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• The Marlins were listed as the moneyline favorite by bookmakers just once in the last 10 games, and won that matchup.
• Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Marlins and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total three times.
• The Marlins have a 9-1-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Kyle Stowers paces the Marlins with 25 home runs and 71 runs batted in, while racking up a team-best batting average of .296.
• Among all MLB batters, Stowers is 13th in batting average, 18th in on-base percentage, and fifth in slugging.
• Lopez is hitting .250 with 14 doubles, 11 home runs and 35 walks.
• Lopez is 124th in home runs in MLB, and 61st in RBI.
• Agustin Ramirez is hitting .241 with 24 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 22 walks.
• Xavier Edwards is batting .292 with 16 doubles, three triples, a home run and 39 walks.

Marlins Team Props

Astros Recent Betting Performance

• The Astros have been underdogs once in the past 10 games and lost that contest.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Astros and their opponents are 4-5-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Astros have a record of 2-8-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Astros Player Insights

• Jose Altuve is hitting .280 with 17 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 39 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .341.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Altuve is 45th in home runs and 57th in RBI.
• Jeremy Pena has a club-best .322 batting average.
• Pena ranks 124th among all hitters in the majors in home runs, and 148th in RBI.
• Diaz has 15 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 15 walks while hitting .252.
• Jesus Sanchez is batting .256 with 13 doubles, four triples, 10 home runs and 30 walks.

Astros Team Props

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Check out the best moments between the Houston Astros and Boston Red Sox.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Miami Marlins

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