Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game 5 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - May 14

Updated May. 14, 2024 9:22 p.m. ET

share

facebookxredditlink

The Denver Nuggets will go up against the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 5 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs. Tuesday's matchup between the Nuggets and the Timberwolves features the Nuggets as small 4-point favorites. The game has a point total of 206.

Check out everything you need to know about the Nuggets-Timberwolves game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Tuesday, May 14, 2024 at 10:30 PM ET
• Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
• TV: TNT and truTV

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Prediction

ATS Pick: Timberwolves (+ 4)
O/U Pick: Over (206)
Score Prediction: Nuggets 111 - Timberwolves 110

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Betting Insights

• Out of 82 games so far this season, the Nuggets have played 71 with over 206 points scored, their current matchup's over/under.
• This year, 67 of the Timberwolves' 82 total matchups have gone over 206 total points scored.
• These teams average 227.9 points per game combined, 21.9 more than the total of 206.
• Opponents of the two teams average a combined 10.1 more points per game (216.1) than this game's over/under of 206 points.
• Denver has come away with 53 wins in the 72 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.
• Minnesota has come away with 10 wins in the 20 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
• Denver and Minnesota have each won four of their last eight head-to-head matchups.
• The Timberwolves have a 5-3 edge against the spread when playing the Nuggets.
• Against the point spread, the Timberwolves have not covered for four games in a row, and were favored in three of those contests.

FINAL

MIN 97 · DEN 112

NBA

SPREAD

TO WIN

TOTAL

Minnesota Timberwolves

MIN

+4.5

+156

o206

Denver Nuggets

DEN

-4.5

-189

u206

Nuggets Recent Trends

• The Nuggets are 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their past 10 games.
• Denver and its opponents have combined to score an average of 215.1 points over its last 10 games, 9.1 more than the 206 over/under in this matchup.
• The Nuggets have played 82 games, with 38 wins against the spread.
• So far this season, Denver has been installed as favorites by a 4-point margin or more 56 times and are 26-29-1 ATS in those contests.
• Nuggets games this year have gone over the total in 34 out of 82 opportunities (41.5%).
• The Nuggets average 114.9 points per game, 8.4 more points than the 106.5 the Timberwolves give up.
• Denver is 35-26-1 against the spread and 53-10 overall when scoring more than 106.5 points.
• The Nuggets are shooting 49.6% from the field this season, 4.6 percentage points higher than the 45% the Timberwolves allow to opponents.
• The Nuggets sport a better record against the spread when playing at home (21-19-0) than they do in road games (17-23-1).
• Denver has gone over the over/under in a higher percentage of games at home (43.9%) than games on the road (39%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Nuggets have won a higher percentage of their games when playing at home (.800) compared to road games (.656).

Nuggets Recent Stats

Nuggets Leaders

• Nikola Jokic posts 26.4 points, 12.4 rebounds and 9 assists per contest, shooting 58.3% from the field (10th in league) and 35.9% from downtown with 1.1 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Michael Porter Jr. averages 16.7 points, 7 boards and 1.5 assists per contest, shooting 48.4% from the field and 39.7% from beyond the arc with 2.7 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Jamal Murray puts up 21.2 points, 4.1 rebounds and 6.5 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1 steal and 0.7 blocks.
• Aaron Gordon puts up 13.9 points, 6.5 rebounds and 3.5 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.6 blocks.
• Reggie Jackson averages 10.2 points, 3.8 assists and 1.9 rebounds.

Nuggets Player Props

Timberwolves Recent Trends

• The Timberwolves have a 6-4 record against the spread while finishing 7-3 overall in their last 10 games.
• Minnesota's average total over the last 10 games is 12.8 points fewer than the 206 over/under given for this matchup.
• In the Timberwolves' 82 games this year, they have 40 wins against the spread.
• So far this season, Minnesota has been installed as underdogs by a 4-point margin or more 10 times and are 4-6 ATS in those games.
• Timberwolves games this year have gone over the point total 41 times in 82 opportunities (50%).
• The Timberwolves score just 3.4 more points per game (113) than the Nuggets allow their opponents to score (109.6).
• Minnesota has put together a 35-18 ATS record and a 43-10 overall record in games it scores more than 109.6 points.
• The Timberwolves have shot at a 48.5% clip from the field this season, 2.3 percentage points higher than the 46.2% shooting opponents of the Nuggets have averaged.
• This season, the Timberwolves are 18-22-1 at home against the spread (.439 winning percentage). Away, they are 22-18-1 ATS (.537).
• In 2023-24 a lower percentage of Minnesota's games have finished above the over/under at home (43.9%, 18 of 41) compared to on the road (56.1%, 23 of 41).
• The Timberwolves, as moneyline favorites, have won a lower percentage of games at home (27-10) than away (19-5) this season.

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Timberwolves Leaders

• Anthony Edwards is putting up 25.9 points, 5.4 rebounds and 5.1 assists per contest. He's also draining 46.1% of his shots from the floor and 35.7% from beyond the arc, with 2.4 triples per contest.
• The Timberwolves are receiving 14 points, 12.9 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game from Rudy Gobert this season.
• Karl-Anthony Towns is putting up 21.8 points, 8.3 rebounds and 3 assists per game. He is making 50.4% of his shots from the floor and 41.6% from beyond the arc, with 2.2 treys per game.
• Naz Reid is putting up 13.5 points, 5.2 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest. He is making 47.7% of his shots from the field and 41.4% from beyond the arc, with 2.1 triples per game.
• Mike Conley is averaging 11.4 points, 2.9 rebounds and 5.9 assists per game. He is sinking 45.7% of his shots from the floor and 44.2% from 3-point range (third in NBA), with 2.4 treys per contest.

Timberwolves Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

share

in this topic

National Basketball Association

Denver Nuggets

Minnesota Timberwolves

NBA - Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets - 05/15/2024