Mavericks vs. Thunder Game 6 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - May 18

Updated May. 18, 2024 3:22 p.m. ET

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In Game 6 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs, the Dallas Mavericks will take on the Oklahoma City Thunder. Saturday's matchup between the Mavericks and the Thunder features the Mavericks as small 4-point favorites. The game's point total is 209.5.

Here's everything you need to know to know about the Mavericks-Thunder game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Mavericks vs. Thunder Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Saturday, May 18, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET
• Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
• TV: ABC

Mavericks vs. Thunder Prediction

ATS Pick: Thunder (+ 4)
O/U Pick: Over (209.5)
Score Prediction: Thunder 116 - Mavericks 114

Mavericks vs. Thunder Betting Insights

• Out of 82 games so far this season, the Mavericks have played 72 with more than 209.5 points scored, their current matchup's total.
• This season, 74 of the Thunder's 82 games have had a combined total higher than 209.5 points scored.
• The two teams average a combined 28.5 more points per game (238) than this matchup's over/under of 209.5 points.
• The Mavericks and the Thunder have seen their opponents average a combined 18.8 more points per game than the point total of 209.5 set for this game.
• Dallas has come away with 37 wins in the 50 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.
• Oklahoma City has been an underdog in 21 games this season and has come away with the win 10 times (47.6%) in those contests.
• In the last nine head-to-head matchups, Oklahoma City has a 5-4 record against Dallas.
• The Mavericks have a 5-4 record against the spread when taking on the Thunder.
• The Thunder have covered in four straight games against the spread, and were the favorite in all of those contests.

FINAL

OKC 116 · DAL 117

NBA

SPREAD

TO WIN

TOTAL

Oklahoma City Thunder

OKC

+3.5

+150

o208.5

Dallas Mavericks

DAL

-3.5

-180

u208.5

Mavericks Recent Trends

• The Mavericks have a 7-3 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall over their last 10 contests.
• Dallas has averaged a total of 195.0 combined points in its last 10 games, 14.5 less than this game's over/under of 209.5.
• The Mavericks are 48-34-0 against the spread this year.
• This season, Dallas has an ATS record of 21-15 in its 36 games as a favorite of 4 points or more.
• Mavericks games this year have gone over the total in 36 out of 82 opportunities (43.9%).
• The Mavericks average 117.9 points per game, 5.2 more points than the 112.7 the Thunder allow.
• Dallas has a 40-13 record against the spread and a 42-11 record overall when putting up more than 112.7 points.
• This season, the Mavericks have a 48.1% shooting percentage from the field, which is 2.6% higher than the 45.5% of shots the Thunder's opponents have knocked down.
• Against the spread, the Mavericks have played worse at home, covering 21 times in 41 home games, and 27 times in 41 road games.
• Dallas has exceeded the total in 16 of 41 home games (39%). It has done better in away games, topping the total in 20 of 41 matchups (48.8%).
• The Mavericks have performed worse as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, putting up a home record of 18-9, compared to going 19-4 on the road.

Mavericks Recent Stats

Mavericks Leaders

• Luka Doncic puts up 33.9 points, 9.8 assists and 9.2 rebounds per contest.
• Kyrie Irving puts up 25.6 points, 5 rebounds and 5.2 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.5 blocks.
• Daniel Gafford averages 11 points, 7.6 boards and 1.6 assists per game, shooting 72.5% from the floor (first in NBA).
• P.J. Washington averages 12.9 points, 5.6 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1 steal and 0.8 blocks.
• Tim Hardaway Jr. averages 14.4 points, 3.2 boards and 1.8 assists per contest. At the other end he averages 0.5 steals and 0.1 blocks.

Thunder Recent Trends

• The Thunder are 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their last 10 games.
• Oklahoma City and its opponents have combined to score an average of 215.3 combined points in its last 10 games, 5.8 more than the 209.5 over/under in this matchup.
• In the Thunder's 82 games this year, they have 46 wins against the spread.
• So far this year, Oklahoma City has been installed as underdogs by a 4-point margin or more six times and are 3-3 ATS in those matchups.
• Thunder games this season have gone over the total in 45 of 82 opportunities (54.9%).
• The Thunder's 120.1 points per game are only 4.5 more points than the 115.6 the Mavericks give up.
• When it scores more than 115.6 points, Oklahoma City is 39-16 against the spread and 46-9 overall.
• The Thunder have shot at a 49.9% clip from the field this season, 2.4 percentage points higher than the 47.5% shooting opponents of the Mavericks have averaged.
• This year, the Thunder are 27-14-0 at home against the spread (.659 winning percentage). On the road, they are 19-21-1 ATS (.463).
• Looking at the over/under, Oklahoma City's games have gone over less often at home (21 of 41, 51.2%) than on the road (24 of 41, 58.5%).
• The Thunder, as moneyline favorites, have won a higher percentage of games at home (30-5) than away (17-9) this season.

Thunder Recent Stats

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 30.1 points, 5.5 rebounds and 6.2 assists per game. He's also sinking 53.5% of his shots from the field and 35.3% from beyond the arc, with 1.3 triples per contest.
• The Thunder are receiving 16.5 points, 7.9 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game from Chet Holmgren this year.
• Jalen Williams is averaging 19.1 points, 4 rebounds and 4.5 assists per contest. He is making 54% of his shots from the floor and 42.7% from beyond the arc (ninth in NBA), with 1.5 triples per contest.
• Josh Giddey gives the Thunder 12.3 points, 6.4 rebounds and 4.8 assists per contest while posting 0.6 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.
• Luguentz Dort gives the Thunder 10.9 points, 3.6 rebounds and 1.4 assists per contest while posting 0.9 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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NBA - Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericks - 05/19/2024