Wagner's arrival is only the start for Braves
First Tim Hudson, now Billy Wagner. The Braves are off to a nice
start this offseason, but it is only a start.
General manager Frank Wren, facing the possible losses of
both free-agent left-hander Mike Gonzalez and righty Rafael
Soriano, needs to keep working on his bullpen.
But mostly, Wren needs to fix his offense.
The Braves not only had the best rotation in the National
League last season, but they also had a better bullpen than the
eventual league champion Phillies.
The biggest difference between the teams was their offenses
-- the Phillies scored 85 more runs than the Braves, ranking first
in the NL.
The Phillies' offense will not get any worse this offseason.
In fact, it might even get better if the team finds a better hitter
at third base than Pedro Feliz.
The Braves? It's too early to judge.
The re-signing of Hudson gave Wren enough rotation depth to
trade either right-hander Derek Lowe or righty Javier Vazquez for a
hitter.
But the Braves actually took a step back offensively on
Tuesday, declining to offer salary arbitration to first baseman
Adam LaRoche, who hit a combined 25 home runs with an .843 OPS for
the Pirates, Red Sox and Braves last season.
Not to worry; the Braves can get a comparable first baseman
-- or perhaps LaRoche himself -- at a more reasonable price than
his projected $8 million number in arbitration. The true area of
concern is the outfield, where the Braves' combined OPS ranked
next-to-last in the NL last season.
Know who would be perfect for this team? Matt Holliday or
Jason Bay.
The Braves seemingly lack the payroll flexibility to sign
either free agent, but their biggest need is a right-handed
slugger. In a perfect world, they would at least get in the game.
Center fielder Nate McLouth is the only proven regular in
their outfield. Matt Diaz has never had more than 371 at-bats in a
season.
Ryan Church, who struggles against lefties, could be traded
or non-tendered.
Jason Heyward, one of the game's top prospects, should not be
expected to make an impact at the start of the season, or even in
the second half. The Braves dream of trading for someone like Twins
right fielder Michael Cuddyer. Realistically, they could end up
with someone like the Nationals' Josh Willingham.
Club officials believe that some offensive improvement will
come from within. Third baseman Chipper Jones should recover from
one of his worst offensive seasons. Catcher Brian McCann no longer
will be dealing with eye issues. Shortstop Yunel Escobar and second
baseman Martin Prado figure to just keep getting better.
Yet however you look at it, the Braves are still one bat
short.
The Phillies are dealing with their own issues, trying to
find not only a third baseman but also a late-inning reliever
(Fernando Rodney? Brandon Lyon?) who could serve as a fill-in
closer if Brad Lidge stumbles again. But the Phillies are the
Phillies, the two-time defending National League champions.
Wren had a trying offseason a year ago, failing on a trade
for right-hander Jake Peavy and free-agent bids for shortstop
Rafael Furcal and outfielder Ken Griffey Jr., parting
unceremoniously with John Smoltz.
But the GM recovered nicely, trading for Vazquez and signing
right-handers Lowe and Kenshin Kawakami, albeit at inflated prices.
The Braves are in a stronger position now, but Wren faces a
difficult challenge in his search for a hitter. Lowe, with three
years and $45 million remaining on his contract, is too expensive
to bring a significant return. My hunch is that the Braves will
need to trade Vazquez, who finished sixth in the NL in ERA last
season and is signed for one more year at $11.5 million.
Only Vazquez could bring the bopper the Braves need.