Pirates vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 12

Pirates vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 12

Updated Sep. 12, 2023 6:47 p.m. ET

Bryan Reynolds and the Pittsburgh Pirates face C.J. Abrams and the Washington Nationals at PNC Park on Tuesday. First pitch is at 6:35 PM ET. The Pirates have been listed as -144 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Nationals (+122). Pittsburgh is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The game's total has been set at 9 runs.

The Pittsburgh Pirates will hand the ball to Bailey Falter (1-8, 4.65 ERA), who is looking for win No. 2 on the season, and the Nationals will turn to Joan Adon (2-1, 5.56 ERA).

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Pirates-Nationals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Pirates vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

  • When: Tuesday, September 12, 2023 at 6:35 PM ET
  • Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Pirates -144 +122 9 -115 -105 -1.5 +138 -164

Pirates vs. Nationals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Nationals 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Pirates 53%, Nationals 47%

Pirates vs. Nationals Betting Insights

  • The Pirates have won 16, or 57.1%, of the 28 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Pittsburgh has a record of 6-6 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -144 on the moneyline.
  • The Pirates have a 59% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Nationals have been victorious in 56, or 42.4%, of the 132 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Washington has come away with a win 48 times in 109 chances when named as an underdog of at least +122 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 45% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

  • Over the last 10 games, the Pirates were named the moneyline favorite by oddsmakers just once, a game they lost.
  • Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Pirates and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total six times.
  • The Pirates' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 9
ERA 4.60
K/9 7.1

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Pirates Player Insights

  • Reynolds is the Pirates best hitter, putting together an average of .270 while also being the team's top run producer, delivering 71 RBI and hitting 20 round-trippers.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Reynolds ranks 47th in batting average, 75th in on-base percentage, and 46th in slugging.
  • Reynolds has collected a hit in 12 straight games. In his last 10 games he is hitting .325 with three doubles, a home run, two walks and six RBI.
  • Ke'Bryan Hayes is hitting .264 with 24 doubles, seven triples, 13 home runs and 26 walks.
  • Hayes is 159th in homers and 124th in RBI on the season.
  • Jack Suwinski has hit a team-best 24 homers.
  • Suwinski has at least one base hit in four straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .294 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and five RBI.
  • Connor Joe is batting .238 with 27 doubles, four triples, 10 home runs and 45 walks.

Pirates Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jack Suwinski 0.5 (-179) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+340) 0.5 (+125)
Ke'Bryan Hayes 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+145)
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+155)
Ji-Hwan Bae 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+215)
Joshua Palacios 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+175)

Learn more about this Pirates vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

  • The Nationals have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents are 6-3-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Nationals have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 12
ERA 5.94
K/9 7.2

Nationals Player Insights

  • Lane Thomas paces the Nationals with 24 homers while posting a team-leading batting average of .280.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Thomas' home run total is 40th and his RBI tally ranks 42nd.
  • Abrams has 22 doubles, five triples, 18 home runs and 25 walks while batting .252.
  • Abrams ranks 93rd in homers and 114th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
  • Keibert Ruiz has 20 doubles, 17 home runs and 30 walks while batting .259.
  • Joey Meneses has racked up a team-leading 78 runs batted in.

Nationals Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Keibert Ruiz 1.5 (+200) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+170)
Joey Meneses 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+145)
Lane Thomas 1.5 (+200) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+175)
Luis Garcia 1.5 (+200) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+195)
Ildemaro Vargas 0.5 (-294) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+185)

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Pirates vs Nationals!

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