Red Sox vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 18

Updated Apr. 18, 2024 1:00 p.m. ET

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Tyler O'Neill and the Boston Red Sox will aim to outdo Jose Ramirez and the Cleveland Guardians at Fenway Park on Thursday at 1:35 PM ET. The Red Sox have been listed as -110 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Guardians (-110). Cleveland is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +151 odds). The total is 8.5 runs for the matchup.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Guardians game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Red Sox vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, April 18, 2024 at 1:35 PM ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to Watch on TV: NESN

Red Sox vs. Guardians Prediction

• Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Red Sox 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Red Sox 51%, Guardians 49%

Red Sox vs. Guardians Betting Insights

• This season, the Red Sox have been favored 11 times and won seven, or 63.6%, of those games.
• Boston has a record of 7-4 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -110 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 52.4%.
• The Guardians have been underdogs in nine games this season and have come away with the win seven times (77.8%) in those contests.
• This season, Cleveland has been victorious seven times in nine chances when named as an underdog of at least -110 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 52.4% chance of walking away with the win.

FINAL

CLE 5 · BOS 4

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Cleveland Guardians

CLE

-1.5

-111

o8.5

Boston Red Sox

BOS

+1.5

-108

u8.5

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox were the moneyline favorite in seven of their last 10 games, and they went 3-4 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Red Sox and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total four times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Red Sox's record against the spread is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• O'Neill has accumulated a team-high batting average of .313, while pacing the Red Sox in home runs (seven).
• O'Neill's home runs place him third in MLB, and he is 92nd in RBI.
• O'Neill has collected a hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .250 with a home run, four walks and two RBI.
• Triston Casas has totaled nine runs batted in to pace his team.
• Casas ranks ninth in homers in baseball, and 79th in RBI.
• Jarren Duran is hitting .304 with five doubles, a home run and six walks.
• Duran has at least one base hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .211 with two doubles, three walks and an RBI.
• Masataka Yoshida is hitting .215 with two doubles, a home run and five walks.

Red Sox Team Props

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Guardians matchup on Fox Sports.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

• The Guardians have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Guardians and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
• The Guardians have a record of 5-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Guardians Player Insights

• Josh Naylor leads the Guardians with four home runs.
• Naylor is 25th in home runs and 36th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Naylor has collected a hit in five games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with a double, a home run and three RBI.
• Ramirez has been productive as he paces his team with 15 RBI.
• Ramirez is currently 45th in home runs and 12th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Steven Kwan leads the Guardians' lineup with a .354 batting average.
• Andres Gimenez is hitting .271 with five doubles, a triple and four walks.

Guardians Team Props

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MLB - Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox - 04/18/2024