Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 30

Updated Sep. 30, 2023 12:19 p.m. ET

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Bo Naylor and the Cleveland Guardians take on Kerry Carpenter and the Detroit Tigers on Saturday at 1:10 PM ET, in the second of a three-game series at Comerica Park. Oddsmakers list the Guardians as -118 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Tigers -102 moneyline odds to win. Cleveland is favored on the run line (-1.5). The contest's over/under has been set at 8 runs.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Cleveland Guardians looking to Triston McKenzie (0-2), and Will Vest (2-1) getting the nod for the Detroit Tigers.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Tigers game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Guardians vs. Tigers Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, September 30, 2023 at 1:10 PM ET
• Where: Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan
• How to Watch on TV: BSDET

Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction

• Score Prediction: Tigers 5, Guardians 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Guardians 52%, Tigers 48%

Guardians vs. Tigers Betting Insights

• The Guardians have entered the game as favorites 78 times this season and won 40, or 51.3%, of those games.
• Cleveland has entered 69 games this season favored by -118 or more and is 34-35 in those contests.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 54.1% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
• The Tigers have won in 50, or 42%, of the 119 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, Detroit has been victorious 42 times in 110 chances when named as an underdog of at least -102 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 50.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

• The Guardians have a 3-5 record from the eight games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Guardians combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total five times.
• The Guardians have a 3-7-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Guardians Player Insights

• Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians with 24 home runs and has racked up a team-high batting average of .279.
• In all of the majors, Ramirez is 51st in homers and 52nd in RBI.
• Steven Kwan has 36 doubles, seven triples, five home runs and 69 walks while batting .271.
• Kwan ranks 311th in home runs and 151st in RBI on the year.
• Kwan heads into this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .143 with a double and a walk.
• Josh Naylor has driven in a team-high 97 runs batted in.
• Josh Naylor is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .143 with a walk and two RBI.
• Andres Gimenez has 27 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 32 walks while batting .251.
• Gimenez has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with a double, two home runs and three RBI.

Guardians Team Props

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Tigers matchup on Fox Sports.

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

• The Tigers have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and have gone 1-3 in those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Tigers and their opponents are 6-4-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Tigers have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Tigers Recent Stats

Tigers Player Insights

• Spencer Torkelson leads the Tigers in home runs (31) and runs batted in (95).
• Torkelson is 22nd in homers and 28th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Torkelson brings a hitting streak of six games into this game. In his last 10 games he is batting .250 with two doubles, three home runs, two walks and 11 RBI.
• Carpenter is batting .280 with 17 doubles, two triples, 20 home runs and 30 walks.
• Carpenter ranks 92nd in homers and 113th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Matt Vierling leads the Tigers' lineup with a .258 batting average.
• Zach McKinstry is hitting .230 with 21 doubles, four triples, nine home runs and 43 walks.

Tigers Team Props

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MLB - Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers - 09/30/2023

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