Memphis vs. Navy Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 27, 2025

Updated Nov. 27, 2025 3:05 p.m. ET

FOX Sports

The Memphis Tigers (8-3) are favored by 3.5 points when they play host to the Navy Midshipmen (8-2) in AAC action on Thursday, November 27, 2025 at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium. The over/under is 58.5 for the contest.

Last time out, the Tigers fell to the East Carolina Pirates, with 31-27 being the final score. The Midshipmen won versus the South Florida Bulls in their most recent game, 41-38.

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Memphis vs. Navy Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, November 27, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
Location: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium in Memphis, Tennessee
TV: ESPN
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

Memphis vs Navy Betting Information updated as of November 27, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Memphis	-3.5 (-111)	-169	+142	58.5	-106	-117

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Memphis vs. Navy Prediction

Pick ATS: Memphis (-3.5)
Pick OU: Over (58.5)
Prediction: Memphis 34, Navy 25

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Memphis Tigers vs. the Navy Midshipmen game on FOX Sports!

Memphis vs. Navy Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Tigers 31, Midshipmen 28.
The Tigers have a 62.8% chance to collect the win in this contest per the moneyline's implied probability. The Midshipmen have a 41.3% implied probability.
Memphis is 8-3-0 ATS this season.
Navy has covered three times in 10 matchups with a spread this season.

Memphis vs. Navy: Head-to-Head

Memphis has a 3-1 record against Navy in their last four matchups.
The Tigers and the Midshipmen have been an even matchup over their last four contests, holding a split 2-2 record against the spread. In those four head-to-head matchups, the two teams have gone over the point total on three occasions.
Over their last four head-to-head contests, Memphis has put up 144 points, while Navy has posted 110.

Memphis vs. Navy: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Memphis	Navy
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	36.2 (17)	32.9 (48)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	22 (46)	27.9 (73)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	10 (14)	10 (14)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	18 (29)	12 (87)

Memphis 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Brendon Lewis	QB	2,395 YDS (71.7%) / 13 TD / 6 INT 577 RUSH YDS / 9 RUSH TD / 52.5 RUSH YPG
Cortez Braham	WR	59 REC / 824 YDS / 7 TD / 74.9 YPG
Gregroy Desrosiers	RB	538 YDS / 7 TD / 59.8 YPG / 5.8 YPC 28 REC / 209 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 26.1 REC YPG
Sutton Smith	RB	644 YDS / 7 TD / 58.5 YPG / 6.7 YPC
Sam Brumfield	LB	77 TKL / 11 TFL / 4.5 SACK / 1 INT
Drue Watts	DB	55 TKL / 9 TFL / 3 SACK
Kamari Wilson	DB	58 TKL / 3 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Everett Roussaw Jr.	LB	51 TKL / 3 TFL / 2.5 SACK / 1 INT

Navy 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Blake Horvath	QB	1,290 YDS (62.8%) / 8 TD / 5 INT 986 RUSH YDS / 13 RUSH TD / 109.6 RUSH YPG
Eli Heidenreich	RB	396 YDS / 3 TD / 44 YPG / 7.1 YPC 38 REC / 741 REC YDS / 4 REC TD / 74.1 REC YPG
Alex Tecza	RB	669 YDS / 7 TD / 66.9 YPG / 6.3 YPC 11 REC / 117 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 13 REC YPG
Braxton Woodson	QB	110 YDS (47.4%) / 0 TD / 0 INT 414 RUSH YDS / 6 RUSH TD / 69 RUSH YPG
Landon Robinson	DL	32 TKL / 4 TFL / 5 SACK
MarcAnthony Parker	LB	46 TKL / 1 TFL / 2 SACK / 1 INT
Luke Pirris	LB	45 TKL / 1 TFL / 1.5 SACK
Giuseppe Sessi	DB	40 TKL / 0 TFL