Florida vs. Florida State Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 29, 2025

Updated Nov. 29, 2025 3:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Florida Gators (3-8) are slight favorites (-1.5) against the Florida State Seminoles (5-6) on Saturday, November 29, 2025. This game has an over/under of 49.5 points.

In their most recent action, the Gators lost versus the Tennessee Volunteers, 31-11. The Seminoles lost to the North Carolina State Wolfpack, 21-11, in their most recent game.

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Florida vs. Florida State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, November 29, 2025 at 4:30 p.m. ET
Location: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, Florida
TV: ESPN2
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

Florida vs Florida State Betting Information updated as of November 29, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Florida	-1.5 (-102)	-115	-105	49.5	-109	-112

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Florida vs. Florida State Prediction

Pick ATS: Florida State (+1.5)
Pick OU: Under (49.5)
Prediction: Florida State 26, Florida 21

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Florida Gators vs. the Florida State Seminoles game on FOX Sports!

Florida vs. Florida State Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Gators 26, Seminoles 24.
The Gators have a 53.5% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Seminoles have a 51.2% implied probability.
Florida has put together a 4-7-0 record against the spread this season.
Florida State has covered four times in 10 chances against the spread this season.

Florida vs. Florida State: Head-to-Head

The last four times Florida State and Florida have squared off, the two teams share the same 2-2 record.
The two teams have gone over the total on one occasion while sharing a split 2-2 record in their games against the spread.
Over their last four head-to-head contests, Florida has scored 108 points, while Florida State has compiled 101.

Florida vs. Florida State: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Florida	Florida State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	19.9 (122)	34.1 (27)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	24.3 (56)	20.4 (25)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	17 (102)	17 (102)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	15 (54)	13 (79)

Florida 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Jadan Baugh	RB	904 YDS / 6 TD / 82.2 YPG / 5 YPC 33 REC / 210 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 23.3 REC YPG
DJ Lagway	QB	2,096 YDS (63.3%) / 13 TD / 13 INT 137 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 13.7 RUSH YPG
Vernell Brown III	WR	36 REC / 499 YDS / 0 TD / 55.4 YPG
J.Michael Sturdivant	WR	24 REC / 348 YDS / 2 TD / 31.6 YPG
Myles Graham	LB	55 TKL / 5 TFL / 1 SACK
Bryce Thornton	DB	46 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Kamran James	DL	33 TKL / 3 TFL / 3 SACK
Jordan Castell	DB	43 TKL / 0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD

Florida State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Thomas Castellanos	QB	2,520 YDS (58%) / 13 TD / 8 INT 480 RUSH YDS / 8 RUSH TD / 43.6 RUSH YPG
Duce Robinson	WR	53 REC / 1,021 YDS / 6 TD / 92.8 YPG
Gavin Sawchuk	RB	479 YDS / 8 TD / 43.5 YPG / 4.6 YPC 12 REC / 114 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 11.4 REC YPG
Micahi Danzy	WR	23 REC / 522 YDS / 2 TD / 47.5 YPG
Earl Little II	DB	57 TKL / 1 TFL / 4 INT / 5 PD
Ashlynd Barker	DB	35 TKL / 4 TFL / 3.5 SACK
Mandrell Desir	DL	19 TKL / 6 TFL / 6 SACK
Ja'Bril Rawls	DB	40 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD