2026 NFL Draft No. 1 Pick Odds: Dante Moore Declines Draft, Chambliss Moves Up

Indiana's Fernando Mendoza is currently the clear favorite to be selected No. 1 in April's NFL Draft. 

However, it's not over until the commissioner calls the first name, and the Las Vegas Raiders are on the clock.

Let's check out the latest lines for the next No. 1 pick at DraftKings Sportsbook as of Jan. 14.

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2026 NFL Draft No. 1 pick odds

Fernando Mendoza: -8000 (bet $10 to win $10.13 total)
Trinidad Chambliss: +3000 (bet $10 to win $310 total)
Rueben Bain, Jr: +6000 (bet $10 to win $610 total)
Arvell Reese: +6000 (bet $10 to win $610 total)
Jordyn Tyson: +10000 (bet $10 to win $1,010 total)
Ty Simpson: +10000 (bet $10 to win $1,010 total)
Carson Beck: +10000 (bet $10 to win $1,010 total)
Keldric Faulk: +12000 (bet $10 to win $1,210 total)
David Bailey: +12000 (bet $10 to win $1,210 total)
Cashius Howell: +12000 (bet $10 to win $1,210 total)
Carnell Tate: +12000 (bet $10 to win $1,210 total)
Caleb Downs: +12000 (bet $10 to win $1,210 total)

This page may contain affiliate links to legal sports betting partners. If you sign up or place a wager, FOX Sports may be compensated. Read more about Sports Betting on FOX Sports.

Here's what to know about the No. 1 pick oddsboard: 

The Favorite: Currently, the heavy favorite is Indiana's Fernando Mendoza, who's having a dazzling season for the Hoosiers. In 2025 — including the postseason — he has passed for 3,349 yards and 41 touchdowns. Mendoza has helped lead the Hoosiers to their perfect 15-0 record, captured the Heisman trophy and has his team rolling in the postseason. After securing a first-round bye, Mendoza & Co. silenced the Tide by beating Bama 38-3 in the quarterfinal round and then trounced Oregon in the semifinal matchup, 56-22. With all of his success this season, his odds to be the No. 1 NFL draft pick shortened to -8000 from -500 over the last three weeks.

Rebel With A Cause: Trinidad Chambliss' waiver for a sixth year of eligibility was denied by the NCAA. And while his odds have moved to +3000 from +2500, he's now second on the board after Dante Moore — Oregon's QB who was second on this list — announced he was returning to college for another year. Before the quarterfinal games at DraftKings, the Ole Miss QB wasn't even on the board. After leading the Rebs over Georgia 39-34, his No. 1 draft pick odds surged. On the season, he's passed for 3,937 yards and 22 touchdowns, including 277 yards in the Rebs' 31-27 loss to Miami in the Fiesta Bowl semifinal matchup.

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