Kolten Wong

St. Louis Cardinals: Kolten Wong vs. Breyvic Valera

Published Jun. 30, 2017 6:28 p.m. ET

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Prior to the 2016 season, the St. Louis Cardinals provided their young second baseman a lengthy extension but someone new is knocking on the door.  Does this mean that his time is running out?

The St. Louis Cardinals awarded Kolten Wong with a five-year extension at the start of the 2016 season worth $25.5MM.  This was an indication of the belief that the organization held in the young second baseman.  Then, the wheels fell off and manager Mike Matheny did not provide playing time to Wong.

In defense of this decision, Wong did go into a strong slump in the 2016 season.  Rest is often a solution to a slump but only if regular playing time follows the rest.  This was not the case with Wong in 2016.

To address this, the organization send Wong to Memphis to learn to hit again and to learn a new position.  In Memphis, Wong found his bat once more and learned to play center field as the organization was working to find a way to keep value in their extension.  Could Wong solve the slumping center field that befell the 2016 St. Louis Cardinals?

This question would go somewhat unanswered as Matheny again refused to offer regular enough playing time to provide time to answer the said question.  Oh, and there was that one time when Wong face-planted in left field…

All of this is to say that 2017 could be a crossroads for Kolten: will Matheny play him regularly at second base, will Matheny experiment with him in the outfield, or will he maintain his slump thanks to irregular playing time?  These questions are all made even more complicated by the addition to the 40-man roster in the form of Breyvic Valera.

Let’s take a moment to compare these two youngsters; Wong is twenty-six and Valera is twenty-four.  These are Wong’s career offensive numbers:

While it is not an exact apples-to-apples comparison, these are Valera’s career offensive numbers:

Anyone other than me notice the similarities?  To add insult to injury (against Wong, in favor of Valera), Valera has batted .379/.440/.634 in the Venezuelan league this winter.  In these he has smashed nine doubles, five triples, six home runs, and has accounted for twenty RBI.

Of even more important note to the St. Louis Cardinals is Valera’s speed.  In winter ball, Breyvic has stolen eight bases and been caught stealing five times.  Even the caught stealing is an improvement for a 2016 St. Louis Cardinals team that was stagnant on the base pads.

Let’s take a look at Wong vs. Valera defensively.  These are Wong’s defensive numbers (abbreviated to show 2016 only plus aggregates):

These are Breyvic’s defensive numbers (abbreviated to show 2016 only plus aggregates):

The similarities continue but Valera shows a wider range of abilities and utilities.

These are the questions that surround these two players for me:

All of these questions aside, you must admit that the stats are eerily similar and that this might well spell the end of tenure for Kolten Wong.  I would not be sad if the ilk of Valera were to replace the ilk of Wong.

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I love watching the Memphis Redbirds play and knowing that a rising star such as Breyvic Valera, now protected on the 40-man roster, will play for his chance to break into the majors makes me even more excited for 2017.  Come on, Spring!

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Kolten Wong

St. Louis Cardinals

Major League Baseball