Twins vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 22

Updated May. 22, 2024 1:00 p.m. ET

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The Minnesota Twins and Carlos Correa will square off against the Washington Nationals and Ildemaro Vargas on Wednesday at 1:05 PM ET, at Nationals Park. The Twins are -126 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Nationals (+107). Minnesota (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The contest's total is set at 9.5 runs.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Twins-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Twins vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays from the Minnesota Twins and Washington Nationals game on May 20, 2024.

Twins vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, May 22, 2024 at 1:05 PM ET
• Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
• How to Watch on TV: BSN

Twins vs. Nationals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Nationals 5, Twins 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Twins 51%, Nationals 49%

Twins vs. Nationals Betting Insights

• The Twins have won 18, or 62.1%, of the 29 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Minnesota has a record of 11-7, a 61.1% win rate, when favored by -126 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Twins, based on the moneyline, is 55.8%.
• The Nationals have been victorious in 18, or 42.9%, of the 42 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Washington has a win-loss record of 17-23 when favored by +107 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 48.3% chance of pulling out a win.

FINAL

MIN 3 · WSH 2

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Minnesota Twins

MIN

-1.5

-129

o9.5

Washington Nationals

WSH

+1.5

+109

u9.5

Twins Recent Betting Performance

• The Twins were the moneyline favorite for six of their last 10 games, and went 2-4 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Twins and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times.
• The Twins have put together a 3-7-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Twins Player Insights

• Ryan Jeffers leads the Twins with 10 home runs and 30 runs batted in.
• Among all batters in the majors, Jeffers' home run total ranks him 15th, and his RBI tally puts him 25th.
• Willi Castro has a club-high .267 batting average.
• Castro ranks 139th in homers and 150th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Castro has four games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .278 with a double, a home run, a walk and two RBI.
• Carlos Santana is hitting .210 with six doubles, seven home runs and 12 walks.
• Santana has at least one base hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .222 with a double, a walk and an RBI.
• Max Kepler is batting .303 with 11 doubles, three home runs and nine walks.

Twins Team Props

Learn more about this Twins vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• The Nationals have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and have gone 1-7 in those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
• The Nationals have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• C.J. Abrams has swatted a team-high seven home runs.
• Abrams ranks 45th in home runs and 84th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Jesse Winker has nine doubles, six home runs and 22 walks while batting .229.
• Winker is currently 65th in home runs and 84th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Luis Garcia leads the Nationals with 23 runs batted in while generating a team-high batting average of .273.
• Jacob Young has seven doubles and seven walks while batting .280.

Nationals Team Props

Twins vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays from the Minnesota Twins and Washington Nationals game on May 20, 2024.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals - 05/22/2024