Tigers vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 5

The Detroit Tigers will look to Spencer Torkelson for continued offensive production when they take on Steven Kwan and the Cleveland Guardians on Saturday. The Tigers are -138 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Guardians (+116). Detroit is a 1.5-run favorite (at +120 odds). The game's over/under is set at 9 runs.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Tigers-Guardians game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.

Tigers vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Detroit Tigers and the Cleveland Guardians.

Tigers vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, July 5, 2025 at 7:15 p.m. ET
• Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
• How to watch on TV: FOX

Tigers vs. Guardians Prediction

• Score Prediction: Tigers 5, Guardians 4
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Tigers 52%, Guardians 48%

Tigers vs. Guardians Betting Insights

• The Tigers have entered the game as favorites 59 times this season and won 41, or 69.5%, of those games.
• Detroit has a record of 31-12 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -138 on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Tigers have a 58% chance to win.
• The Guardians have come away with 21 wins in the 53 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Cleveland has come away with a win nine times in 23 chances when named as an underdog of at least +116 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 46.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

• The Tigers went 6-3 over the nine games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Tigers combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total five times.
• The Tigers' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Tigers Recent Stats

Tigers Player Insights

• Gleyber Torres is hitting .279 with 13 doubles, nine home runs and 46 walks.
• Of all batters in the majors, Torres' home run total ranks him 122nd, and his RBI tally puts him 60th.
• Riley Greene's 21 home runs, 69 RBI and .290 batting average all lead his team.
• Greene is ninth in home runs and fifth in RBI among all batters in baseball.
• Torkelson is hitting .234 with 19 doubles, 19 home runs and 40 walks.
• Torkelson has at least one base hit in eight games in a row. During his last 10 outings he is batting .308 with three doubles, three home runs, three walks and seven RBIs.
• Zach McKinstry is hitting .289 with 12 doubles, eight triples, six home runs and 29 walks.
• McKinstry is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .316 with a double, a home run and an RBI.

Tigers Team Props

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

• The Guardians have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and lost each of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Guardians and their opponents are 4-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Guardians have three wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Guardians Recent Stats

Guardians Player Insights

• Jose Ramirez leads the lineup with a batting average of .299, while leading the Guardians in home runs, with 14 and runs batted in with 39.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Ramirez's home run total is 42nd and his RBI tally ranks 86th.
• Kwan is hitting .296 with 19 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 30 walks.
• Among all major league hitters, Kwan is 186th in home runs and 188th in RBI.
• Carlos Santana is hitting .242 with seven doubles, 10 home runs and 39 walks.
• Kyle Manzardo is batting .219 with 11 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 25 walks.

Guardians Team Props

Tigers vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Detroit Tigers and the Cleveland Guardians.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience

Cleveland Guardians

Detroit Tigers