Rangers vs. Mariners Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 11

Randy Arozarena and Josh Smith will hit the field when the Seattle Mariners and Texas Rangers meet on Friday at T-Mobile Park. The Rangers are listed as -124 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Mariners (+104). Texas is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The game's total is set at 6.5 runs.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Rangers-Mariners game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.

Rangers vs. Mariners Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, April 11, 2025 at 9:40 p.m. ET
• Where: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington
• How to watch on TV: ROOT Sports NW and RSN

Rangers vs. Mariners Prediction

• Score Prediction: Rangers 5, Mariners 4
• Total Prediction: Over 6.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Rangers 52%, Mariners 48%

Rangers vs. Mariners Betting Insights

• The Rangers have been favorites in six games this season and won five (83.3%) of those contests.
• Texas has a record of 4-1 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -124 on the moneyline.
• The Rangers have a 55.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Mariners have been underdogs in five games this season and have come away with the win two times (40%) in those contests.
• This year, Seattle has won two of three games when listed as at least +104 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mariners have a 49% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Rangers Recent Betting Performance

• The Rangers have a 4-1 record from the five games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Rangers and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Rangers have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Rangers Recent Stats

Rangers Player Insights

• Adolis Garcia has three doubles, two home runs and three walks while hitting .190.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Garcia ranks 56th in home runs and 104th in RBI.
• Garcia takes a hitting streak of three games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .176 with a walk and an RBI.
• Jonah Heim has totaled seven runs batted in to lead his team.
• Heim heads into this matchup looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .313 with a home run and five RBI.
• Smith is batting .308 with two doubles, a home run and six walks.
• Corey Seager has three home runs and three walks while batting .220.
• Seager has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .238 with three home runs and three RBI.

Rangers Team Props

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

• In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Mariners have a record of 2-3.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Mariners and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
• The Mariners have three wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Mariners Recent Stats

Mariners Player Insights

• Julio Rodriguez has hit a team-high three home runs.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Rodriguez's home run total is 28th and his RBI tally ranks 57th.
• Arozarena's three home runs are a team-high total.
• Arozarena ranks 28th in homers and 31st in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Jorge Polanco leads the Mariners with 10 runs batted in.
• Dylan Moore has two home runs and four walks while batting .286.

Mariners Team Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience

Seattle Mariners

Texas Rangers