Guardians vs. Rockies Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 29

Guardians vs. Rockies Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 29

Updated Jul. 29, 2025 6:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Colorado Rockies and Mickey Moniak take the field in the second game of a three-game series against Jose Ramirez and the Cleveland Guardians, on Tuesday at Progressive Field. The Guardians have been listed as -195 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Rockies (+162). Cleveland is a 1.5-run favorite (at +106 odds). The total is 8.5 runs for the contest (with -117 odds to hit the over and -104 odds to go under).

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Rockies game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Guardians vs. Rockies Game Information & Odds

  • When: Tuesday, July 29, 2025 at 6:40 p.m. ET
  • Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
  • How to watch on TV: CLEG and COLR
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Guardians -195 +162 8.5 -117 -104 -1.5 +106 -127

Guardians vs. Rockies Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Rockies 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Guardians 59%, Rockies 41%

Guardians vs. Rockies Betting Insights

  • The Guardians have won 25, or 59.5%, of the 42 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • This season Cleveland has won three of its four games when favored by at least -195 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Guardians, based on the moneyline, is 66.1%.
  • The Rockies have won in 27, or 26.5%, of the 102 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, Colorado has been victorious 13 times in 71 chances when named as an underdog of at least +162 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rockies have a 38.2% chance of pulling out a win.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

  • The Guardians have a 3-3 record over the six games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Guardians combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total six times.
  • The Guardians' record against the spread is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 11
ERA 4.04
K/9 7.6

Guardians Player Insights

  • Ramirez leads the Guardians in home runs (21), runs batted in (56) and has put up a team-high batting average of .295.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Ramirez ranks 10th in batting average, 18th in on-base percentage, and 13th in slugging.
  • Steven Kwan is batting .287 with 20 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 39 walks.
  • Kwan is 150th in home runs and 156th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
  • Kwan has six straight games with at least one hit. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .282 with three home runs, eight walks and eight RBIs.
  • Carlos Santana is batting .226 with seven doubles, 11 home runs and 47 walks.
  • Santana has at least one base hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .235 with two walks and two RBIs.
  • Kyle Manzardo is hitting .228 with 13 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 31 walks.
  • Manzardo brings a seven-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last 10 games he is hitting .333 with two doubles, three home runs, four walks and 10 RBIs.

Guardians Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Nolan Jones 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+185)
Kyle Manzardo 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+100) - 0.5 (+115)
Gabriel Arias 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+180)
David Fry 0.5 (-190) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+170)
Daniel Schneemann 0.5 (-260) 1.5 (+105) - 0.5 (+150)

Rockies Recent Betting Performance

  • In 10 games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Rockies have a record of 6-4.
  • The Rockies and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Rockies have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Rockies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 15
ERA 6.03
K/9 6.5

Rockies Player Insights

  • Hunter Goodman leads the squad with a batting average of .282, while pacing the Rockies in home runs, with 19 and runs batted in with 59.
  • Goodman's home run total places him 28th in MLB, and he ranks 37th in RBI.
  • Moniak is hitting .269 with 11 doubles, six triples, 16 home runs and 18 walks.
  • Moniak ranks 54th in homers and 122nd in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
  • Jordan Beck is batting .275 with 19 doubles, five triples, 11 home runs and 26 walks.
  • Tyler Freeman is batting .306 with 14 doubles, a triple, a home run and 22 walks.

Rockies Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Tyler Freeman 0.5 (-260) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+255)
Jordan Beck 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+185)
Hunter Goodman 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+150)
Ezequiel Tovar 0.5 (-255) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+200)
Brenton Doyle 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+145) - 0.5 (+200)

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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