A couple of hot hitters, Christian Yelich and Bryan Reynolds, will try to keep it going when the Milwaukee Brewers play the Pittsburgh Pirates on Thursday at 7:15 PM ET, at American Family Field. Oddsmakers list the Brewers as -131 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Pirates +111 moneyline odds to win. Milwaukee is a 1.5-run favorite (at +153 odds). The over/under is 8.5 runs for this contest (with -105 odds to hit the over and -114 odds to go under).
The Milwaukee Brewers will hand the ball to Adrian Houser (3-3, 4.43 ERA), who is looking for win No. 4 on the season, and the Pirates will counter with Mitch Keller (9-7, 3.97 ERA).
Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Pirates game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):
Brewers vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds
- When: Thursday, August 3, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET
- Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
- How to Watch on TV: FOX
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -131 | +111 | 8.5 | -105 | -114 | -1.5 | +153 | -183 |
Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction
- Score Prediction: Brewers 4, Pirates 3
- Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Brewers 56%, Pirates 44%
Brewers vs. Pirates Betting Insights
- The Brewers have won 30, or 56.6%, of the 53 games they've played as favorites this season.
- Milwaukee is 18-15 this season when entering a game favored by -131 or more on the moneyline.
- The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 56.7% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
- The Pirates have been victorious in 35, or 41.2%, of the 85 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 30-35 when favored by +111 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 47.4% chance of walking away with the win.
Brewers Recent Betting Performance
- The Brewers were favored on the moneyline in six of their last 10 games, and they went 3-3 in those matchups.
- In their last 10 matchups, the Brewers and their opponents combined to hit the over four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
- The Brewers' ATS record is 2-8-0 over their past 10 games.
Brewers Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 5.19 |
| K/9 | 9.3 |
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Brewers Player Insights
- Yelich is the Brewers best hitter, putting together an average of .286 while also being the team's top run producer, collecting 61 RBI and connecting on 16 round-trippers.
- Yelich ranks 58th in home runs and 37th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
- Carlos Santana is hitting .228 with 25 doubles, 13 home runs and 47 walks.
- Santana is 97th in home runs and 61st in RBI in the bigs.
- William Contreras is hitting .275 with 23 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 33 walks.
- Willy Adames has shown off his power as he paces his team with 17 home runs.
Brewers Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 (-238) | 1.5 (+125) | 0.5 (+550) | 0.5 (+215) |
| Willy Adames | 0.5 (-213) | 1.5 (+135) | 0.5 (+450) | 0.5 (+170) |
| William Contreras | 0.5 (-244) | 1.5 (+140) | 0.5 (+600) | 0.5 (+190) |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 (-185) | 0.5 (-185) | 0.5 (+750) | 0.5 (+235) |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 (-164) | 0.5 (-164) | 0.5 (+475) | 0.5 (+185) |
Learn more about this Brewers vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.
Pirates Recent Betting Performance
- In nine games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Pirates have a record of 5-4.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
- The Pirates have won seven of their last 10 games against the spread.
Pirates Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.74 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
Pirates Player Insights
- Reynolds has 21 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 32 walks while batting .262.
- Among all batters in the big leagues, Reynolds' home run total ranks 112th and his RBI tally is 80th.
- Reynolds brings a hitting streak of six games into this game. During his last 10 games he is batting .318 with three home runs, a walk and five RBI.
- Andrew McCutchen's .263 batting average is a team-high mark.
- Among all MLB batters, McCutchen is 149th in home runs and 209th in RBI.
- Jack Suwinski paces the Pirates in home runs (21) and runs batted in (52).
- Ke'Bryan Hayes is hitting .248 with 16 doubles, five triples, five home runs and 16 walks.
Pirates Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 (-263) | 1.5 (+110) | 0.5 (+425) | 0.5 (+170) |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 (-233) | 1.5 (+135) | 0.5 (+500) | 0.5 (+165) |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | 0.5 (-222) | 1.5 (+140) | 0.5 (+700) | 0.5 (+175) |
| Jack Suwinski | 0.5 (-164) | 0.5 (-164) | 0.5 (+280) | 0.5 (+140) |
| Alfonso Rivas | 0.5 (-189) | 0.5 (-189) | 0.5 (+800) | 0.5 (+285) |
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