
Brewers vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 23
Christian Yelich and Fernando Tatis Jr. will be among the stars on display when the Milwaukee Brewers face the San Diego Padres on Tuesday at 9:40 p.m. ET, at PETCO Park. The Brewers are the favorite in this one, at -128, while the underdog Padres have +108 odds to win. Milwaukee is a 1.5-run favorite (at +134 odds). The total is 8 runs for the game (with -112 odds on the over and -108 odds on the under).
Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Brewers-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Brewers vs. Padres Game Information & Odds
- When: Tuesday, September 23, 2025 at 9:40 p.m. ET
- Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
- How to watch on TV: SDPA and FDSWI
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -128 | +108 | 8 | -112 | -108 | -1.5 | +134 | -161 |
Brewers vs. Padres Prediction
- Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Padres 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
- Win Probabilities: Brewers 51%, Padres 49%
Brewers vs. Padres Betting Insights
- This season, the Brewers have won 59 out of the 93 games, or 63.4%, in which they've been favored.
- Milwaukee is 46-18 this season when entering a game favored by -128 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.1% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
- The Padres have been victorious in 34, or 50%, of the 68 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, San Diego has been victorious 21 times in 46 chances when named as an underdog of at least +108 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 48.1% chance of walking away with the win.
Brewers Recent Betting Performance
- The Brewers have a 6-4 record from the 10 games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
- In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Brewers and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total six times.
- The Brewers' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.
Brewers Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 3.36 |
| K/9 | 9.7 |
Brewers Player Insights
- William Contreras is batting .263 with 28 doubles, 17 home runs and 84 walks.
- In all of the majors, Contreras is 109th in homers and 59th in RBI.
- Yelich's 29 home runs and 102 RBI both pace his team.
- Yelich ranks 29th in home runs in MLB, and 11th in RBI.
- Brice Turang is batting .286 with 26 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 62 walks.
- Jackson Chourio is batting .272 with 34 doubles, four triples, 20 home runs and 28 walks.
Brewers Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Contreras | 0.5 (-264) | 1.5 (+118) | - | 0.5 (+139) |
| Caleb Durbin | 0.5 (-216) | 1.5 (+143) | - | 0.5 (+197) |
| Jackson Chourio | 1.5 (+169) | 1.5 (-106) | - | 0.5 (+158) |
| Christian Yelich | 1.5 (+187) | 1.5 (+114) | - | 0.5 (+205) |
| Brice Turang | 1.5 (+189) | 1.5 (+118) | - | 0.5 (+171) |
Padres Recent Betting Performance
- The Padres have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
- The Padres and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
- The Padres have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Padres Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.35 |
| K/9 | 10.1 |
Padres Player Insights
- Tatis is batting .267 with 27 doubles, two triples, 23 home runs and 88 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .367.
- Among all batters in the majors, Tatis' home run total ranks 56th and his RBI tally is 95th.
- Tatis carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .381 with a home run, two walks and an RBI.
- Manny Machado has hit 26 home runs with 93 RBI, leading the team in both categories.
- Machado ranks 39th overall in home runs and 21st in RBI this year.
- Luis Arraez leads the Padres with a team-best batting average of .286.
- Ramon Laureano is hitting .282 with 26 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 35 walks.
Padres Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ramon Laureano | 0.5 (-233) | 1.5 (+117) | - | 0.5 (+147) |
| Jose Iglesias | 0.5 (-265) | 1.5 (+132) | - | 0.5 (+212) |
| Xander Bogaerts | 1.5 (+178) | 1.5 (-102) | - | 0.5 (+166) |
| Luis Arraez | 1.5 (+164) | 1.5 (+112) | - | 0.5 (+235) |
| Randy Vasquez | - | - | - | - |
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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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