Astros vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 5

Cal Quantrill will start for the Miami Marlins against the Houston Astros and Yainer Diaz on Tuesday at 6:40 p.m. ET. The Astros are the favorite in this one, at -112, while the underdog Marlins have -107 odds to play spoiler. Houston is the run-line favorite (-1.5). An 8.5-run total is set for the contest.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Astros-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Astros vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from this MLB matchup between the Houston Astros and the Miami Marlins.

Astros vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, August 5, 2025 at 6:40 p.m. ET
• Where: loanDepot park in Miami, Florida
• How to watch on TV: FDSFL and SCHN

Astros vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Marlins 5, Astros 4
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Astros 51%, Marlins 49%

Astros vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• The Astros have entered the game as favorites 78 times this season and won 42, or 53.8%, of those games.
• Houston has a record of 41-35 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -112 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 52.8% chance of a victory for the Astros.
• The Marlins have won in 48, or 50%, of the 96 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, Miami has been victorious 48 times in 94 chances when named as an underdog of at least -107 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 51.7% chance of pulling out a win.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

• The Astros went 2-6 across the eight games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Astros combined with their opponents to go over the total five times.
• The Astros' ATS record is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Astros Player Insights

• Jose Altuve has 17 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 39 walks while batting .279.
• Among all hitters in baseball, Altuve's home run total ranks him 47th, and his RBI tally ranks him 57th.
• Altuve carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with a home run, a walk and three RBIs.
• Jeremy Pena has a club-leading .324 batting average.
• Pena is 125th in homers and 146th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Diaz is batting .255 with 16 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 15 walks.
• Jesus Sanchez has 14 doubles, four triples, 10 home runs and 30 walks while hitting .256.
• Sanchez is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .316 with three doubles, a home run, a walk and three RBIs.

Astros Team Props

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• The Marlins have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and won six of those contests.
• The Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
• Over their last 10 games, the Marlins are 8-2-0 against the spread.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Kyle Stowers paces the Marlins in home runs (25), runs batted in (71) and has posted a team-high batting average of .295.
• Stowers is 11th in home runs and 18th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Otto Lopez is hitting .247 with 14 doubles, 11 home runs and 35 walks.
• Lopez ranks 125th in homers and 61st in RBI among all major league batters this season.
• Agustin Ramirez is hitting .242 with 24 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 23 walks.
• Xavier Edwards is hitting .292 with 17 doubles, three triples, a home run and 39 walks.

Marlins Team Props

Astros vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from this MLB matchup between the Houston Astros and the Miami Marlins.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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