Michigan vs. Michigan State Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 21

Updated Oct. 21, 2023 3:05 p.m. ET

FOX Sports

The No. 2 Michigan Wolverines (7-0) and the Michigan State Spartans (2-4) meet to try to take home the Paul Bunyan Trophy on Saturday, October 21, 2023 at Spartan Stadium. The Wolverines are double-digit, 25-point favorites. The over/under is 46 in this game.

The Wolverines' last game was versus the Indiana Hoosiers, and they won by a score of 52-7. In their last contest, the Spartans lost versus the Rutgers Scarlet Knights, 27-24.

Michigan vs. Michigan State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
Location: Spartan Stadium in East Lansing, Michigan
TV: NBC
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Michigan vs Michigan State Betting Information updated as of October 21, 2023, 2:47 PM ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Michigan	-25 (-109)	-3636	+1351	46	-111	-110

Michigan vs. Michigan State Prediction

Pick ATS: Michigan State (+25)
Pick OU: Under (46)
Prediction: Michigan 35, Michigan State 10

Learn more about the Michigan Wolverines vs. the Michigan State Spartans game on FOX Sports!

Michigan vs. Michigan State Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Wolverines 36, Spartans 10.
The Wolverines have a 97.3% chance to collect the win in this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Spartans have a 6.9% implied probability.
Michigan has compiled a 3-3-1 record against the spread this season.
Michigan State has compiled a 4-2-0 ATS record so far this year.

Michigan vs. Michigan State: Head-to-Head

In their past two matchups, Michigan State owns a split 1-1 record against Michigan.
In those contests against Michigan, the Spartans have covered two times while outpacing the total on one occasion.
In their last two head-to-head matchups, Michigan has racked up 62 points against Michigan State, while allowing only 44 points.

Michigan vs. Michigan State: 2023 Stats Comparison

	Michigan	Michigan State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	39.4 (6)	22 (115)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	6.7 (1)	24.3 (55)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	5 (11)	15 (129)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	12 (20)	9 (62)

Michigan 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
J.J. McCarthy	QB	1,512 YDS (78.2%) / 14 TD / 3 INT 160 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 22.9 RUSH YPG
Blake Corum	RB	546 YDS / 12 TD / 78 YPG / 5.7 YPC
Roman Wilson	WR	25 REC / 396 YDS / 9 TD / 56.6 YPG
Cornelius Johnson	WR	19 REC / 357 YDS / 1 TD / 51 YPG
Jaylen Harrell	DE	16 TKL / 3 TFL / 4.5 SACK
Michael Barrett	LB	24 TKL / 0 TFL / 1 SACK
Mason Graham	DL	18 TKL / 2 TFL / 1.5 SACK
Josaiah Stewart	DE	18 TKL / 4 TFL / 3 SACK

Michigan State 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Nathan Carter	RB	529 YDS / 4 TD / 88.2 YPG / 4.7 YPC
Noah Kim	QB	1,090 YDS (56.5%) / 6 TD / 6 INT
Tre Mosley	WR	23 REC / 228 YDS / 2 TD / 38 YPG
Montorie Foster	WR	24 REC / 274 YDS / 1 TD / 45.7 YPG
Cal Haladay	LB	40 TKL / 4 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT
Angelo Grose	DB	29 TKL / 1 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 2 INT
Malik Spencer	DB	35 TKL / 1 TFL
Aaron Brule	LB	22 TKL / 3 TFL / 2 SACK