Boise State vs. South Florida Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 28, 2025

Updated Aug. 28, 2025 3:04 p.m. ET

FOX Sports

The South Florida Bulls (0-0) are 5.5-point underdogs heading into their matchup on Thursday, August 28, 2025 against the No. 25 Boise State Broncos (0-0). The over/under is set at 61.5.

The Broncos scored 37.3 points per game (fifth in college football) and allowed 22.6 (37th) last year, going 12-2 and losing the Fiesta Bowl - Quarterfinal. The Bulls went 7-6 last season and won the Hawai'i Bowl. They scored 32.2 points per game (33rd in college football) and gave up 29.8 (99th).

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Boise State vs. South Florida Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, August 28, 2025 at 5:30 p.m. ET
Location: Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida
TV: ESPN
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

Boise State vs South Florida Betting Information updated as of August 28, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Boise State	-5.5 (-110)	-213	+176	61.5	-112	-108

Boise State vs. South Florida Prediction

Pick ATS: Boise State (-5.5)
Pick OU: Under (61.5)
Prediction: Boise State 37, South Florida 24

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Boise State Broncos vs. the South Florida Bulls game on FOX Sports!

Boise State vs. South Florida Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Broncos 34, Bulls 28.
The Broncos have a 68.1% chance to collect the win in this meeting per the moneyline's implied probability. The Bulls have a 36.2% implied probability.
Boise State won seven games against the spread last season, failing to cover six times.
South Florida won six games against the spread last season, failing to cover six times.

Boise State vs. South Florida: 2024 Stats Comparison

	Boise State	South Florida
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	37.3 (7)	32.2 (36)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	22.6 (61)	29.8 (106)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	12 (20)	18 (63)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	16 (77)	26 (9)

Boise State 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Ashton Jeanty	RB	2,601 YDS / 29 TD / 185.8 YPG / 7 YPC 23 REC / 138 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 10.6 REC YPG
Maddux Madsen	QB	3,018 YDS (62.4%) / 23 TD / 6 INT 221 RUSH YDS / 5 RUSH TD / 15.8 RUSH YPG
Cameron Camper	WR	58 REC / 903 YDS / 4 TD / 64.5 YPG
Matt Lauter	TE	47 REC / 619 YDS / 7 TD / 44.2 YPG
Seyi Oladipo	DB	52 TKL / 10 TFL / 6.5 SACK
Ahmed Hassanein	DL	44 TKL / 11 TFL / 9.5 SACK
Jayden Virgin	DL	35 TKL / 10 TFL / 10 SACK
Ty Benefield	DB	60 TKL / 3 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD

South Florida 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Kelley Joiner Jr.	RB	799 YDS / 12 TD / 61.5 YPG / 6.6 YPC 9 REC / 80 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 8 REC YPG
Bryce Archie	QB	1,914 YDS (59.3%) / 9 TD / 10 INT 137 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 10.5 RUSH YPG
Nay'Quan Wright	RB	510 YDS / 8 TD / 39.2 YPG / 4.7 YPC 22 REC / 149 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 12.4 REC YPG
Taron Keith	RB	419 YDS / 8 TD / 32.2 YPG / 5.4 YPC 13 REC / 157 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 15.7 REC YPG
Mac Harris	LB	61 TKL / 5 TFL / 4 SACK
Jhalyn Shuler	LB	51 TKL / 4 TFL / 3.5 SACK / 2 INT
Tavin Ward	DB	51 TKL / 2 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD
Tawfiq Byard	DB	49 TKL / 7 TFL / 2 SACK / 1 INT