North Carolina vs. Wagner Prediction, Odds, Picks - NCAA Tournament First Round

Updated Mar. 21, 2024 10:27 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

A first-round NCAA Tournament matchup will see the No. 1-seed North Carolina Tar Heels (27-7) hit the court against the No. 16 seed Wagner Seahawks (17-15) on Thursday at Spectrum Center. The contest tips off at 2:45 PM ET, on CBS.

The Tar Heels enter their matchup against the Seahawks as heavy favorites. The Tar Heels are favored by 24.5 points. The matchup's over/under is set at 133.5.

Keep scrolling to get the details ahead of wagering on the North Carolina-Wagner clash.

North Carolina vs. Wagner Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, March 21, 2024 at 2:45 PM ET
Where: Spectrum Center in Charlotte, North Carolina
How to Watch on TV: CBS
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Tar Heels vs Seahawks Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Tar Heels	-24.5	-112	-108	133.5	-112	-108	-5000	+1800

North Carolina vs. Wagner Prediction

Pick ATS: Wagner (+24.5)
Pick OU: Over (133.5)
Prediction: North Carolina 81, Wagner 57

Learn more about the North Carolina Tar Heels vs. the Wagner Seahawks game on FOX Sports!

North Carolina vs. Wagner Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Tar Heels 79, Seahawks 54.
The Tar Heels have a 98.0% chance to claim victory in this matchup based on the moneyline's implied probability.
The Seahawks sit with a 5.3% implied probability to come out on top.

Key Spread Facts

North Carolina has put together a 19-15-0 ATS record so far this year.
Wagner has put together a 14-14-0 record against the spread this season.
North Carolina has covered the spread when playing as at least 24.5-point favorites in its only opportunity this season.

Key Total Facts

The Tar Heels and their opponent have broken the 133.5-point mark 29 times this season.
Seahawks games have finished with over 133.5 points scored seven times this year.
The Tar Heels and Seahawks average 145.3 points per game combined, which is 11.8 more than the over/under for this matchup.

Key Moneyline Facts

North Carolina has won 80.8% of its games this season when favored on the moneyline (21-5).
Wagner has been underdogs in 16 games this season and won eight (50%) of those contests.
North Carolina has played as a moneyline favorite of -5000 or shorter in just one game this season, and won.
Wagner has played as an underdog of +1800 or more once this season and lost that game.

North Carolina vs. Wagner: 2023-24 Stats Comparison

	North Carolina	Wagner
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)	81.5 (22)	63.8 (353)
Points Allowed (Rank)	70.2 (119)	62.3 (7)
Rebounds (Rank)	10.5 (45)	9.5 (104)
3pt Made (Rank)	7.9 (127)	7.2 (209)
Assists (Rank)	14.5 (94)	12.9 (190)
Turnovers (Rank)	9.9 (62)	8.8 (12)

North Carolina 2023-24 Key Players

Tar Heels Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
RJ Davis	34	21.4	3.8	3.5	1.2	0.2	3.1
Armando Bacot	34	14.1	10.2	1.6	0.6	1.4	0.1
Ingram Harrison	34	12.1	9	2.2	1.4	0.4	1.7
Cormac Ryan	33	11.2	2.8	1.3	0.7	0.4	2
Elliot Cadeau	34	7.6	2.2	4.1	0.9	0.1	0.2

Wagner 2023-24 Key Players

Seahawks Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Melvin Council Jr.	32	14.8	5.7	3.5	1.4	0.6	0.9
Tahron Allen	31	10.7	5.1	1	0.6	0.2	0.8
Julian Brown	31	9.7	3	1.7	0.5	0.2	2
Zaire Williams	9	9.3	2.1	1.2	1.3	0	1.7
Rahmir Moore	3	8.7	3	2	1	0.3	0.3