Western Kentucky vs. New Mexico State Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 11

Western Kentucky vs. New Mexico State Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 11

Updated Nov. 11, 2023 3:04 p.m. ET

Oddsmakers give the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (5-4) the edge when they host the New Mexico State Aggies (7-3) on Saturday, November 11, 2023 in a matchup between CUSA foes at Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium. Western Kentucky is favored by 4.5 points. The contest's over/under is 54.

The Hilltoppers' last game was versus the UTEP Miners, and they won by a score of 21-13. Against the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders in their most recent game, the Aggies won 13-7.

Western Kentucky vs. New Mexico State Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Saturday, November 11, 2023 at 3:30 PM ET
  • Location: Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium in Bowling Green, Kentucky
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live boxscore on FOX Sports
Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State Betting Information updated as of November 11, 2023, 2:46 PM ET.
Favorite Spread (Odds) Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Moneyline Under Moneyline
Western Kentucky -4.5 (-111) -201 +166 54 -109 -111

Western Kentucky vs. New Mexico State Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Western Kentucky (-4.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (54)
  • Prediction: Western Kentucky 29, New Mexico State 20

Learn more about the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. the New Mexico State Aggies game on FOX Sports!

Western Kentucky vs. New Mexico State Betting Insights

  • Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Hilltoppers 29, Aggies 25.
  • The Hilltoppers have a 66.8% chance to collect the win in this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Aggies have a 37.6% implied probability.
  • Western Kentucky has compiled a 4-4-0 ATS record so far this year.
  • New Mexico State has won five games against the spread this year, failing to cover or pushing three times.

Western Kentucky vs. New Mexico State: 2023 Stats Comparison

Western Kentucky New Mexico State
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 28.9 (64) 27.8 (45)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 27.7 (80) 20.0 (42)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 11 (42) 9 (22)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 19 (6) 8 (118)

Western Kentucky 2023 Key Players

Name Position Stats
Austin Reed QB 2,375 YDS (59.9%) / 21 TD / 6 INT
96 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 10.7 RUSH YPG
Malachi Corley WR 53 REC / 662 YDS / 8 TD / 73.6 YPG
Elijah Young RB 326 YDS / 3 TD / 36.2 YPG / 5.5 YPC
9 REC / 66 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 7.3 REC YPG
Easton Messer WR 27 REC / 335 YDS / 3 TD / 37.2 YPG
Kendrick Simpkins DB 37 TKL / 6.0 TFL / 5.5 SACK
Hosea Wheeler DT 31 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK / 1 INT
Kylan Guidry LB 31 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK
Desmyn Baker LB 30 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK / 1 INT

New Mexico State 2023 Key Players

Name Position Stats
Diego Pavia QB 2,116 YDS (59.8%) / 17 TD / 6 INT
670 RUSH YDS / 5 RUSH TD / 67.0 RUSH YPG
Star Thomas RB 430 YDS / 4 TD / 43.0 YPG / 5.3 YPC
16 REC / 160 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 16.0 REC YPG
Ahmonte Watkins RB 527 YDS / 2 TD / 52.7 YPG / 11.5 YPC
8 REC / 77 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 7.7 REC YPG
Trent Hudson WR 17 REC / 322 YDS / 6 TD / 32.2 YPG
Keyshaun Elliott LB 67 TKL / 6.0 TFL / 2.5 SACK
Jordan Vincent S 52 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK
Myles Rowser S 52 TKL / 0.0 TFL
Buddha Peleti LB 26 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 3.5 SACK
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