Dolphins vs. Browns 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 29

Having lost four in a row, the Cleveland Browns (3-12) will take on the Miami Dolphins (7-8). The Dolphins are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3). The expected point total for the game is 33.

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Dolphins vs. Browns Odds & Betting Lines

Dolphins vs. Browns Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Browns (+3)
  
• Pick OU: Over (33)
  
• Prediction: Dolphins 22 - Browns 20

How to Watch Miami vs. Cleveland

• Game Date: Sunday, December 29, 2024
• Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
• Venue: Cleveland Browns Stadium
• Location: Cleveland, Ohio
• TV: CBS
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Read More NFL Predictions For This Week

• Colts vs. Giants Prediction
• Jaguars vs. Titans Prediction
• Raiders vs. Saints Prediction
• Eagles vs. Cowboys Prediction
• Bills vs. Jets Prediction
• Buccaneers vs. Panthers Prediction
• Vikings vs. Packers Prediction
• Commanders vs. Falcons Prediction
• Lions vs. 49ers Prediction

Dolphins vs. Browns Recent Matchups

• Miami owns a 3-2 record against Cleveland in their last five matchups.
• In their last five head-to-head matchups, Miami has compiled 132 points against Cleveland, while surrendering only 109 points.

Miami Betting Info

• Against the spread, Miami is 6-8-1 this season.
• The Dolphins have covered the spread twice this season (2-2-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
• Miami games in 2024 have eclipsed the over/under seven times in 15 opportunities (46.7%).
• The Dolphins have won 62.5% of the time they have played as the moneyline favorite (5-3).
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Dolphins' implied win probability is 63.6%.

Dolphins Stats

Miami's Key Players

Offense

• On the ground, Devon Achane averages 4.2 yards per attempt (27th in the NFL) and 50.7 yards per game for 761 total rushing yards. He has recorded five rushing touchdowns this season.
• He's caught 76 passes (on 85 targets) for 579 receiving yards with six touchdowns. He's averaging 38.6 receving yards and 5.1 catches per game.
• Tua Tagovailoa has 2,867 passing yards, 19 touchdowns and seven interceptions this year. He has completed 72.9% of his attempts, averaging 260.6 yards per game and 7.2 per attempt.
• In the passing game, Tyreek Hill, has contributed with 834 receiving yards and six touchdowns after catching 70 balls on 110 targets. Per game, he's averaging 55.6 yards and 4.7 receptions through 15 games.
• Jonnu Smith averages 5.1 receptions and 53.5 yards per game, and has 802 total receiving yards and 76 catches. He's gotten 95 total targets, and has caught six touchdown passes.

Defense

• On the defensive side, Jordyn Brooks has 128 tackles, 10.0 TFL, and three sacks in 2024.
• Zach Sieler has 45 tackles, 12.0 TFL, 8.5 sacks, and one interception this season.
• This season, Tyrel Dodson has put up 2.0 sacks in addition to his 5.0 TFL, 88 tackles, and one interception.
• This season, Calais Campbell has 46 tackles, 10.0 TFL, and four sacks.

Cleveland Betting Info

• Cleveland is 4-11-0 against the spread this season.
• This season, the Browns have an ATS record of 3-5 in their eight games as an underdog of 3 points or more.
• This season, Cleveland games have hit the over six times.
• This season, the Browns have been the underdog 11 times and won three, or 27.3%, of those games.
• The implied probability of a win by the Browns based on the moneyline is 40.8%.

Browns Stats

Cleveland's Key Players

Offense

• So far this year, Jerry Jeudy has 72 receptions for 1,072 yards (eighth in the NFL) with four receiving touchdowns. He has been targeted 114 times and averages 4.8 catches per game in 15 games played.
• In 11 games, Jameis Winston has 2,121 passing yards, with 13 touchdowns against 12 interceptions and completing 61.1% of his passes.
• He has tacked on 83 rushing yards (sixth on the Browns), with one touchdown on the ground (averaging 7.5 yards per game and 3.3 per carry).
• Jerome Ford is averaging 41.8 rushing yards per game this season (543 total yards), while scoring three rushing touchdowns.
• In addition to his ground game, Ford has grabbed 37 passes (on 43 targets) for 225 yards (sixth on the Browns). He averages 17.3 yards per game.
• David Njoku has 505 receiving yards and five touchdowns from 64 receptions after receiving 97 targets.

Defense

• So far in 2024, Myles Garrett has 12.0 sacks to go with 18.0 TFL and 41 tackles over 13 games. He ranks second in the NFL in sacks.
• Grant Delpit's stats include 95 tackles, 6.0 TFL, one sack, and one pass defended.
• Martin Emerson has 71 tackles and 3.0 TFL in the 2024 season. He is second on the Browns in tackles.
• Denzel Ward has put up 1.0 TFL, 44 tackles, and two interceptions through 15 games.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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